Football · Latvia Virsliga · 05/09, 14:00

Prediction: Tukums 2000 vs Ogre United

Team pages: Tukums 2000 · Ogre United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.77Total
Tukums 20002.19
Ogre United1.57
1X2
50% 23% 26%
Tukums 2000 Draw Ogre United
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Tukums 2000 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLWLLL
Ogre United 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLWLWLDLLL
Head-to-head
Tukums 2000 1–1–1 Ogre United (3 last)
  • Ogre United3-2Tukums 2000
  • Tukums 20006-1Ogre United
  • Ogre United1-1Tukums 2000
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tukums 2000 1412 · Ogre United 1431
Tukums 2000DrawOgre United
Our model51%22%27%
Market50%24%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tukums 2000Ogre United
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.61.2 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.7 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.51.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.33.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tukums 2000 111 Ogre United

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/06/26
Latvia Virsliga
Ogre United3-2
HT 1-2
Tukums 2000
07/05/26
Latvia Virsliga
Tukums 20006-1
HT 2-0
Ogre United
15/03/26
Latvia Virsliga
Ogre United1-1
HT 0-1
Tukums 2000

Standings · Latvia Virsliga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 RFS 272232 682069
2 Riga FC 272052 812765
3 FK Auda 271656 442753
4 FK Liepaja 2812412 394140
5 BFC Daugavpils 2810711 333237
6 FK Jelgava 288713 324731
7 SK Super Nova 268513 273829
8 SC Grobinas 285914 205024
9 Tukums 2000 284816 415820
10 Ogre United 273519 267114

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTukums 2000Ogre United
FK Jelgava 1-4 L 2-3 L
BFC Daugavpils 0-2 L 0-4 L
FK Liepaja 2-1 W 0-4 L
RFS 0-1 L 0-3 L
Riga FC 1-3 L 1-4 L
SC Grobinas 1-3 L 2-2 D
SK Super Nova 1-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 6 L 1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Tukums 2000 (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tukums 2000

LLLLLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
1-1 1-4 35 L
21/08 FK Auda
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 0-3 25 L
08/08 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-2 14 L
02/08 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
1-1 2-1 14 W
27/07 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 0-1 42 L
18/07 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
1-0 1-3 23 L
05/07 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
0-2 1-3 64 L
01/07 SK Super Nova
Latvia Virsliga
1-1 1-2 72 L
26/06 Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga
2-1 2-3 85 L
21/06 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 1-4 13 L

Ogre United

WLWLWLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 0-3 34 L
22/08 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
2-1 2-3 35 L
09/08 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
1-4 1-4 28 L
27/07 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
2-0 2-2 34 D
19/07 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 0-4 63 L
06/07 SK Super Nova
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 2-1 42 W
30/06 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
0-3 0-4 73 L
26/06 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
1-2 3-2 25 W
22/06 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
0-3 0-6 34 L
17/06 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
1-0 2-0 93 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tukums 2000 vs Ogre United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tukums 2000 win (50%). Probabilities: Tukums 2000 50%, draw 23%, Ogre United 26%.

How many goals are expected in Tukums 2000 vs Ogre United?

The model expects 3.77 goals (Tukums 2000 2.19 · Ogre United 1.57), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tukums 2000 vs Ogre United?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.