Football · Latvia Virsliga · 20/07, 18:00

Prediction: SK Super Nova vs SC Grobinas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
SK Super Nova1.05
SC Grobinas0.94
1X2
38% 31% 32%
SK Super Nova Draw SC Grobinas
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
SK Super Nova 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLDLLWLW
SC Grobinas 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDLLWLDLWW
Head-to-head
SK Super Nova 2–4–0 SC Grobinas (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Super Nova 1470 · SC Grobinas 1473
SK Super NovaDrawSC Grobinas
Our model36%34%30%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours SK Super Nova: 2-4-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SK Super NovaSC Grobinas
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.80.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.10.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 41.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.13.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Super Nova 240 SC Grobinas

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/05/26
Latvia Virsliga
SC Grobinas0-2
HT 0-0
SK Super Nova
09/04/26
Latvia Virsliga
SC Grobinas0-1
HT 0-0
SK Super Nova
18/10/25
Latvia Virsliga
SC Grobinas0-0
HT 0-0
SK Super Nova
26/07/25
Latvia Virsliga
SK Super Nova0-0
HT 0-0
SC Grobinas
26/05/25
Latvia Virsliga
SC Grobinas1-1
HT 1-0
SK Super Nova
10/04/25
Latvia Virsliga
SK Super Nova1-1
HT 1-1
SC Grobinas

Standings · Latvia Virsliga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Riga FC 231841 682058
2 RFS 221822 541656
3 FK Auda 221246 372640
4 FK Liepaja 228410 283428
5 BFC Daugavpils 22769 252927
6 FK Jelgava 22679 243825
7 SK Super Nova 227312 233524
8 SC Grobinas 224810 153320
9 Tukums 2000 233812 384717
10 Ogre United 223415 215513

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSK Super NovaSC Grobinas
Tukums 2000 2-1 W 3-1 W
Ogre United 1-2 L 1-1 D
FK Jelgava 1-5 L 0-2 L
FK Auda 0-2 L 0-0 D
BFC Daugavpils 0-0 D 0-1 L
FK Liepaja 1-2 L 1-0 W
RFS 1-2 L 1-3 L
Riga FC 0-3 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 6 L 2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SC Grobinas (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Super Nova

WLLLDLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Tukums 2000
Latvia Cup
0-1 2-1 31 W
06/07 Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 1-2 72 L
01/07 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
1-1 2-1 62 W
25/06 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
1-3 1-5 35 L
21/06 FK Auda
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-2 43 L
16/06 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-0 10 D
12/06 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
1-2 1-2 47 L
29/05 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
1-1 1-2 14 L
24/05 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
0-3 0-3 84 L
20/05 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 2-0 34 W

SC Grobinas

LDLLWLDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Marupes SC
Latvia Cup
0-0 1-0 122 W
05/07 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
2-0 3-1 74 W
29/06 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 0-2 24 L
25/06 FK Auda
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-0 44 D
20/06 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-1 35 L
16/06 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
1-0 1-0 25 W
13/06 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
0-2 1-3 30 L
29/05 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 0-2 12 L
25/05 Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga
1-1 1-1 99 D
20/05 SK Super Nova
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-2 64 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Super Nova vs SC Grobinas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Super Nova win (38%). Probabilities: SK Super Nova 38%, draw 31%, SC Grobinas 32%.

How many goals are expected in SK Super Nova vs SC Grobinas?

The model expects 1.98 goals (SK Super Nova 1.05 · SC Grobinas 0.94), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Super Nova vs SC Grobinas?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.