Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 22/10, 15:30

Prediction: FC Bunyodkor vs Mashal Mubarek

Team pages: FC Bunyodkor · Mashal Mubarek

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

FC Bunyodkor1.98

Mashal Mubarek1.16

1X2

55% 24% 21%

FC Bunyodkor Draw Mashal Mubarek

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Bunyodkor 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWLD

Mashal Mubarek 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

FC Bunyodkor 4–2–0 Mashal Mubarek (6 last)

Mashal Mubarek0-1FC Bunyodkor
FC Bunyodkor2-1Mashal Mubarek
Mashal Mubarek1-1FC Bunyodkor
Mashal Mubarek1-1FC Bunyodkor
FC Bunyodkor1-0Mashal Mubarek
Mashal Mubarek1-2FC Bunyodkor

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Bunyodkor (rating 1429 vs 1362).
H2H favours FC Bunyodkor: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Bunyodkor	Mashal Mubarek
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	0.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	0.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.5	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.94

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 10 moves · last 16:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.39 → 1.75▲	Pinn 1.75
X	4.43 → 3.12▼	Pinn 3.12
2	7.47 → 5.78▼	Pinn 5.78

See the full journey (10)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +21’	1.39	4.43	7.47
22:55 +7’	1.37▼	4.56▲	7.86▲
06:44 +17’	1.46▲	4.14▼	6.62▼
09:50 +12’	1.53▲	3.91▼	6.00▼
10:31 +31’	1.55▲	3.85▼	5.72▼
11:52 +10’	1.47▼	4.08▲	6.51▲
12:58 +4’	1.43▼	4.28▲	6.82▲
13:31 +32’	1.43▼	4.43▲	7.30▲
15:02 +1’	1.52▲	4.40▼	5.52▼
16:01 +1’	1.75▲	3.12▼	5.78▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Bunyodkor 4–2–0 Mashal Mubarek

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/26 Uzbekistan PFL	Mashal Mubarek	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Bunyodkor
26/10/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FC Bunyodkor	2-1 HT 0-0	Mashal Mubarek
26/05/25 Uzbekistan PFL	Mashal Mubarek	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Bunyodkor
06/08/21 Uzbekistan PFL	Mashal Mubarek	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Bunyodkor
10/03/21 Uzbekistan PFL	FC Bunyodkor	1-0 HT 0-0	Mashal Mubarek
16/09/20 Uzbekistan PFL	Mashal Mubarek	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Bunyodkor

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	24	17	4	3	56	21	55
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	24	15	8	1	43	22	53
3	Navbahor Namangan	24	13	7	4	42	24	46
4	FK Buxoro	24	12	4	8	37	32	40
5	AGMK	24	11	6	7	34	31	39
6	Lokomotiv Tashkent	24	11	6	7	39	30	39
7	Nasaf Qarshi	24	10	8	6	35	22	38
8	Qizilqum Zarafshon	24	10	3	11	24	30	33
9	FK Andijan	24	9	3	12	29	32	30
10	Dinamo Samarqand	24	8	6	10	35	38	30
11	Sogdiana Jizzakh	24	8	5	11	41	47	29
12	Termez Surkhon	24	7	7	10	19	28	28
13	FK Kokand 1912	24	5	8	11	24	34	23
14	FC Bunyodkor	24	7	2	15	24	40	23
15	Xorazm Urganch	24	5	8	11	20	34	23
16	Mashal Mubarek	24	1	1	22	11	48	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Bunyodkor	Mashal Mubarek
Sogdiana Jizzakh	1-1 D	2-5 L
Pakhtakor Tashkent	1-3 L	1-2 L
Lokomotiv Tashkent	1-4 L	0-3 L
FK Kokand 1912	0-1 L	0-3 L
Navbahor Namangan	3-4 L	0-2 L
AGMK	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FC Bunyodkor (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Bunyodkor

LLLLLLLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
09/10	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
19/09	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	2-1	2-1	2	1	W
09/09	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	0-3	4	2	L
04/09	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
26/08	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-3	1-4	11	1	L
20/08	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
14/08	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	3-4	0	4	L
08/08	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	1-3	2-3	3	1	L
26/07	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	6	2	L

Mashal Mubarek

LLLLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
09/10	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-3	5	0	L
19/09	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-2	2	6	L
11/09	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-3	0	4	L
05/09	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	1-3	2-5	9	1	L
26/08	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-2	4	8	L
19/08	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
14/08	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
07/08	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
02/08	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-3	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Bunyodkor vs Mashal Mubarek?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Bunyodkor win (55%). Probabilities: FC Bunyodkor 55%, draw 24%, Mashal Mubarek 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Bunyodkor vs Mashal Mubarek?

The model expects 3.14 goals (FC Bunyodkor 1.98 · Mashal Mubarek 1.16), with a 58% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Bunyodkor vs Mashal Mubarek?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.