Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: Navbahor Namangan vs FK Andijan

Team pages: Navbahor Namangan · FK Andijan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Navbahor Namangan2.01

FK Andijan0.9

1X2

62% 23% 15%

Navbahor Namangan Draw FK Andijan

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Navbahor Namangan 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWWDDW

FK Andijan 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLLLD

Head-to-head

Navbahor Namangan 2–3–1 FK Andijan (6 last)

FK Andijan0-1Navbahor Namangan
FK Andijan0-1Navbahor Namangan
Navbahor Namangan2-2FK Andijan
Navbahor Namangan3-3FK Andijan
Navbahor Namangan1-1FK Andijan
FK Andijan3-0Navbahor Namangan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Navbahor Namangan 1605 · FK Andijan 1462

	Navbahor Namangan	Draw	FK Andijan
Our model	62%	23%	15%
Market	62%	23%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Navbahor Namangan (rating 1605 vs 1462).
H2H favours Navbahor Namangan: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Navbahor Namangan	FK Andijan
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.7	2.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.45

X3.90

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.45▲	Bet365 1.45
X	4.33 → 3.90▼	Pinn 4.36
2	7.50 → 6.00▼	Pinn 6.81 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:21 +9’	1.33	4.33	7.50
17:19 +11’	1.45▲	3.90▼	6.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:11 +19’	1.44	4.36	6.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Navbahor Namangan 2–3–1 FK Andijan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/26 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	0-1 HT 0-0	Navbahor Namangan
12/08/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	0-1 HT 0-0	Navbahor Namangan
28/03/25 Uzbekistan PFL	Navbahor Namangan	2-2 HT 1-1	FK Andijan
30/11/24 Uzbekistan PFL	Navbahor Namangan	3-3 HT 0-1	FK Andijan
05/10/24 Uzbekistan Cup	Navbahor Namangan	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Andijan
26/06/24 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	3-0 HT 1-0	Navbahor Namangan

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	25	18	4	3	59	22	58
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	26	16	8	2	45	25	56
3	Navbahor Namangan	25	14	7	4	44	25	49
4	FK Buxoro	26	12	6	8	38	33	42
5	AGMK	25	12	6	7	36	32	42
6	Nasaf Qarshi	25	11	8	6	37	23	41
7	Lokomotiv Tashkent	25	11	7	7	40	31	40
8	Qizilqum Zarafshon	26	10	5	11	25	31	35
9	FK Andijan	25	9	4	12	30	33	31
10	Dinamo Samarqand	25	8	7	10	36	39	31
11	Sogdiana Jizzakh	26	8	6	12	43	50	30
12	Termez Surkhon	25	7	8	10	19	28	29
13	FC Bunyodkor	25	8	2	15	26	41	26
14	FK Kokand 1912	26	5	9	12	25	36	24
15	Xorazm Urganch	26	5	8	13	21	37	23
16	Mashal Mubarek	25	1	1	23	12	50	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Navbahor Namangan	FK Andijan
Xorazm Urganch	2-1 W	1-0 W
Pakhtakor Tashkent	1-1 D	0-3 L
Dinamo Samarqand	3-2 W	1-1 D
FK Buxoro	4-1 W	2-3 L
Mashal Mubarek	2-0 W	1-0 W
Nasaf Qarshi	1-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Navbahor Namangan (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Navbahor Namangan

WWWWDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
17/10	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
11/10	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	2-2	11	4	D
17/09	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	3-2	3-2	3	6	W
11/09	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	4-1	9	5	W
04/09	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
26/08	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
21/08	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
14/08	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	2-1	4-3	7	4	W
07/08	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	7	6	W

FK Andijan

LLWWLWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
15/10	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
09/10	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-3	5	3	L
20/09	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	1-4	3	2	L
10/09	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	2-1	11	4	W
04/09	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
25/08	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
19/08	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
13/08	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-3	7	5	L
06/08	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Navbahor Namangan vs FK Andijan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Navbahor Namangan win (62%). Probabilities: Navbahor Namangan 62%, draw 23%, FK Andijan 15%.

How many goals are expected in Navbahor Namangan vs FK Andijan?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Navbahor Namangan 2.01 · FK Andijan 0.9), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Navbahor Namangan vs FK Andijan?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.