Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Termez Surkhon vs Nasaf Qarshi

Team pages: Termez Surkhon · Nasaf Qarshi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Termez Surkhon1.09
Nasaf Qarshi0.73
1X2
42% 34% 23%
Termez Surkhon Draw Nasaf Qarshi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Termez Surkhon 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LLDDWLWDDD
Nasaf Qarshi 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DLLLWWWWDW
Head-to-head
Termez Surkhon 1–1–4 Nasaf Qarshi (6 last)
  • Nasaf Qarshi0-1Termez Surkhon
  • Termez Surkhon1-2Nasaf Qarshi
  • Nasaf Qarshi1-0Termez Surkhon
  • Nasaf Qarshi1-1Termez Surkhon
  • Termez Surkhon0-1Nasaf Qarshi
  • Termez Surkhon1-2Nasaf Qarshi
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Nasaf Qarshi: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Termez SurkhonNasaf Qarshi
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 0.61.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.30.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 3.92 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.32.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Termez Surkhon 1–1–4 Nasaf Qarshi

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/03/26
Uzbekistan PFL
Nasaf Qarshi0-1
HT 0-0
Termez Surkhon
23/08/25
Uzbekistan PFL
Termez Surkhon1-2
HT 0-0
Nasaf Qarshi
13/04/25
Uzbekistan PFL
Nasaf Qarshi1-0
HT 1-0
Termez Surkhon
18/10/24
Uzbekistan PFL
Nasaf Qarshi1-1
HT 1-0
Termez Surkhon
20/05/24
Uzbekistan PFL
Termez Surkhon0-1
HT 0-1
Nasaf Qarshi
29/08/23
Uzbekistan PFL
Termez Surkhon1-2
HT 0-1
Nasaf Qarshi

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Neftchi Fergana 251843 592258
2 Pakhtakor Tashkent 251582 442553
3 Navbahor Namangan 251474 442549
4 AGMK 251267 363242
5 Nasaf Qarshi 251186 372341
6 FK Buxoro 251258 373241
7 Lokomotiv Tashkent 251177 403140
8 Qizilqum Zarafshon 2510411 253134
9 FK Andijan 259412 303331
10 Dinamo Samarqand 258710 363931
11 Sogdiana Jizzakh 258512 424929
12 Termez Surkhon 257810 192829
13 FC Bunyodkor 258215 264126
14 FK Kokand 1912 255812 253623
15 Xorazm Urganch 255812 213623
16 Mashal Mubarek 251123 12504

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTermez SurkhonNasaf Qarshi
Qizilqum Zarafshon 0-0 D 0-1 L
FK Kokand 1912 1-0 W 0-0 D
Neftchi Fergana 1-2 L 6-2 W
FC Bunyodkor 1-0 W 3-0 W
Pakhtakor Tashkent 0-0 D 1-2 L
Sogdiana Jizzakh 1-3 L 2-1 W
Navbahor Namangan 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Termez Surkhon

LLDDWLWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 FK Buxoro
Uzbekistan PFL
0-0 0-0 33 D
16/10 Xorazm Urganch
Uzbekistan PFL
0-0 0-0 53 D
10/10 Qizilqum Zarafshon
Uzbekistan PFL
0-0 0-0 20 D
20/09 FK Kokand 1912
Uzbekistan PFL
1-0 1-0 44 W
09/09 Neftchi Fergana
Uzbekistan PFL
0-2 1-2 32 L
04/09 FC Bunyodkor
Uzbekistan PFL
0-0 1-0 134 W
25/08 AGMK
Uzbekistan PFL
0-0 0-0 26 D
21/08 Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbekistan PFL
0-0 0-0 27 D
13/08 Sogdiana Jizzakh
Uzbekistan PFL
1-0 1-3 33 L
07/08 Navbahor Namangan
Uzbekistan PFL
0-1 0-1 26 L

Nasaf Qarshi

DLLLWWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Sogdiana Jizzakh
Uzbekistan PFL
2-0 2-1 12 W
17/10 Lokomotiv Tashkent
Uzbekistan PFL
0-0 0-0 50 D
09/10 Dinamo Samarqand
Uzbekistan PFL
0-0 2-1 63 W
20/09 FK Andijan
Uzbekistan PFL
1-1 4-1 22 W
09/09 FC Bunyodkor
Uzbekistan PFL
2-0 3-0 22 W
04/09 Neftchi Fergana
Uzbekistan PFL
4-0 6-2 73 W
26/08 Qizilqum Zarafshon
Uzbekistan PFL
0-1 0-1 63 L
21/08 Navbahor Namangan
Uzbekistan PFL
0-1 0-1 56 L
16/08 Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbekistan PFL
0-1 1-2 35 L
08/08 FK Kokand 1912
Uzbekistan PFL
0-0 0-0 43 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Termez Surkhon vs Nasaf Qarshi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Termez Surkhon win (42%). Probabilities: Termez Surkhon 42%, draw 34%, Nasaf Qarshi 23%.

How many goals are expected in Termez Surkhon vs Nasaf Qarshi?

The model expects 1.82 goals (Termez Surkhon 1.09 · Nasaf Qarshi 0.73), with a 62% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Termez Surkhon vs Nasaf Qarshi?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.