Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 30/10, 14:30

Prediction: FK Kokand 1912 vs Qizilqum Zarafshon

Team pages: FK Kokand 1912 · Qizilqum Zarafshon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

FK Kokand 19121.13

Qizilqum Zarafshon1.21

1X2

33% 31% 37%

FK Kokand 1912 Draw Qizilqum Zarafshon

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kokand 1912 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWWDDLLWLL

Qizilqum Zarafshon 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWDWD

Head-to-head

FK Kokand 1912 2–1–3 Qizilqum Zarafshon (6 last)

Qizilqum Zarafshon2-1FK Kokand 1912
FK Kokand 19122-1Qizilqum Zarafshon
FK Kokand 19122-1Qizilqum Zarafshon
Qizilqum Zarafshon1-0FK Kokand 1912
FK Kokand 19121-2Qizilqum Zarafshon
Qizilqum Zarafshon1-1FK Kokand 1912

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Qizilqum Zarafshon (rating 1466 vs 1533).
H2H favours Qizilqum Zarafshon: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kokand 1912	Qizilqum Zarafshon
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	2.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.79

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.09 → 1.84▼	Pinn 1.84
X	3.06 → 3.27▲	Pinn 3.27
2	3.77 → 4.51▲	Pinn 4.51

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:42 +33’	2.09	3.06	3.77
15:53 +15’	1.84▼	3.27▲	4.51▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kokand 1912 2–1–3 Qizilqum Zarafshon

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Uzbekistan PFL	Qizilqum Zarafshon	2-1 HT 2-1	FK Kokand 1912
13/09/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Kokand 1912	2-1 HT 1-1	Qizilqum Zarafshon
21/05/25 Uzbekistan Cup	FK Kokand 1912	2-1 HT 1-1	Qizilqum Zarafshon
18/04/25 Uzbekistan PFL	Qizilqum Zarafshon	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Kokand 1912
05/12/23 Uzbekistan Play-Offs	FK Kokand 1912	1-2 HT 0-2	Qizilqum Zarafshon
02/11/22 Uzbekistan PFL	Qizilqum Zarafshon	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Kokand 1912

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	25	18	4	3	59	22	58
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	25	15	8	2	44	25	53
3	Navbahor Namangan	25	14	7	4	44	25	49
4	AGMK	25	12	6	7	36	32	42
5	Nasaf Qarshi	25	11	8	6	37	23	41
6	FK Buxoro	25	12	5	8	37	32	41
7	Lokomotiv Tashkent	25	11	7	7	40	31	40
8	Qizilqum Zarafshon	25	10	4	11	25	31	34
9	FK Andijan	25	9	4	12	30	33	31
10	Dinamo Samarqand	25	8	7	10	36	39	31
11	Sogdiana Jizzakh	25	8	5	12	42	49	29
12	Termez Surkhon	25	7	8	10	19	28	29
13	FC Bunyodkor	25	8	2	15	26	41	26
14	FK Kokand 1912	25	5	8	12	25	36	23
15	Xorazm Urganch	25	5	8	12	21	36	23
16	Mashal Mubarek	25	1	1	23	12	50	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kokand 1912	Qizilqum Zarafshon
Neftchi Fergana	2-4 L	0-5 L
Mashal Mubarek	3-0 W	2-0 W
Termez Surkhon	0-1 L	0-0 D
FK Andijan	1-2 L	1-0 W
Dinamo Samarqand	1-1 D	0-1 L
FK Buxoro	1-1 D	3-2 W
Lokomotiv Tashkent	2-1 W	1-1 D
Nasaf Qarshi	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Kokand 1912

DWWDDLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
16/10	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	2-4	4	2	L
09/10	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
20/09	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
10/09	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-2	0	4	L
05/09	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
24/08	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
20/08	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
15/08	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	2-1	2	2	W
08/08	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Qizilqum Zarafshon

LWLWWLWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	1-1	1	7	D
15/10	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
10/10	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
21/09	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	3-1	8	3	W
10/09	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
05/09	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	3-2	1	3	W
26/08	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
18/08	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
14/08	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
08/08	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	0-5	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kokand 1912 vs Qizilqum Zarafshon?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Qizilqum Zarafshon win (37%). Probabilities: FK Kokand 1912 33%, draw 31%, Qizilqum Zarafshon 37%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kokand 1912 vs Qizilqum Zarafshon?

The model expects 2.34 goals (FK Kokand 1912 1.13 · Qizilqum Zarafshon 1.21), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kokand 1912 vs Qizilqum Zarafshon?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.