Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 31/10, 13:00
Prediction: Mashal Mubarek vs Dinamo Samarqand
Team pages: Mashal Mubarek · Dinamo Samarqand
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Mashal Mubarek1.21
Dinamo Samarqand1.59
1X2
Mashal Mubarek
Draw
Dinamo Samarqand
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Mashal Mubarek
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Dinamo Samarqand
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mashal Mubarek
1–5
Dinamo Samarqand
(6 last)
- Dinamo Samarqand3-1Mashal Mubarek
- Mashal Mubarek2-4Dinamo Samarqand
- Dinamo Samarqand1-0Mashal Mubarek
- Dinamo Samarqand2-0Mashal Mubarek
- Mashal Mubarek1-3Dinamo Samarqand
- Mashal Mubarek1-0Dinamo Samarqand
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Samarqand (rating 1375 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Dinamo Samarqand: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mashal Mubarek | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 2.3 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mashal Mubarek 1–0–5 Dinamo Samarqand
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Uzbekistan PFL | Dinamo Samarqand | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Mashal Mubarek |
| 06/08/25 Uzbekistan PFL | Mashal Mubarek | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Dinamo Samarqand |
| 15/03/25 Uzbekistan PFL | Dinamo Samarqand | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mashal Mubarek |
| 13/08/23 Uzbekistan 1st Division | Dinamo Samarqand | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Mashal Mubarek |
| 16/03/23 Uzbekistan 1st Division | Mashal Mubarek | 1-3 | Dinamo Samarqand |
| 08/11/18 Other Match | Mashal Mubarek | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dinamo Samarqand |
Standings · Uzbekistan PFL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fergana | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 58 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 25 | 49 |
| 4 | AGMK | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 42 |
| 5 | Nasaf Qarshi | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 23 | 41 |
| 6 | FK Buxoro | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 41 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 40 |
| 8 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 34 |
| 9 | FK Andijan | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 31 |
| 10 | Dinamo Samarqand | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | 31 |
| 11 | Sogdiana Jizzakh | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 49 | 29 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 29 |
| 13 | FC Bunyodkor | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 41 | 26 |
| 14 | FK Kokand 1912 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 36 | 23 |
| 15 | Xorazm Urganch | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 23 |
| 16 | Mashal Mubarek | 25 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 50 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mashal Mubarek | Dinamo Samarqand |
|---|---|---|
| AGMK | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Kokand 1912 | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Lokomotiv Tashkent | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Navbahor Namangan | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| FK Andijan | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Xorazm Urganch | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 8 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Dinamo Samarqand (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mashal Mubarek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/10 | AGMK Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/10 | FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/09 | Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL |
1-3 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 26/08 | Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 19/08 | FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Dinamo Samarqand
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 09/10 | Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/09 | Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL |
2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 10/09 | Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/08 | Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/08 | AGMK Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 07/08 | Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mashal Mubarek vs Dinamo Samarqand?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dinamo Samarqand win (45%). Probabilities: Mashal Mubarek 28%, draw 27%, Dinamo Samarqand 45%.
How many goals are expected in Mashal Mubarek vs Dinamo Samarqand?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Mashal Mubarek 1.21 · Dinamo Samarqand 1.59), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mashal Mubarek vs Dinamo Samarqand?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.