Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 15/10, 16:00
Prediction: Mashal Mubarek vs AGMK
Team pages: Mashal Mubarek · AGMK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Mashal Mubarek1.1
AGMK1.68
1X2
Mashal Mubarek
Draw
AGMK
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Mashal Mubarek
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
AGMK
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mashal Mubarek
2–4
AGMK
(6 last)
- AGMK2-1Mashal Mubarek
- AGMK2-0Mashal Mubarek
- Mashal Mubarek0-1AGMK
- AGMK0-1Mashal Mubarek
- AGMK3-2Mashal Mubarek
- Mashal Mubarek2-1AGMK
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AGMK (rating 1372 vs 1514).
- H2H favours AGMK: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mashal Mubarek | AGMK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.5 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 3.2 / 7.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mashal Mubarek 2–0–4 AGMK
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/26 Uzbekistan PFL | AGMK | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Mashal Mubarek |
| 30/11/25 Uzbekistan PFL | AGMK | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Mashal Mubarek |
| 05/07/25 Uzbekistan PFL | Mashal Mubarek | 0-1 HT 0-1 | AGMK |
| 15/04/24 Uzbekistan Cup | AGMK | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Mashal Mubarek |
| 15/10/21 Uzbekistan PFL | AGMK | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Mashal Mubarek |
| 19/05/21 Uzbekistan PFL | Mashal Mubarek | 2-1 HT 2-0 | AGMK |
Standings · Uzbekistan PFL
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Neftchi Fergana | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 19 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 23 | 45 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 38 |
| 5 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 22 | 37 |
| 6 | FK Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 37 |
| 7 | AGMK | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 36 |
| 8 | Dinamo Samarqand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 36 | 30 |
| 9 | FK Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana Jizzakh | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 46 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 27 |
| 13 | FK Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 23 |
| 14 | FC Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 39 | 22 |
| 15 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 34 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Mubarek | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 47 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mashal Mubarek | AGMK |
|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Sogdiana Jizzakh | 2-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Navbahor Namangan | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Xorazm Urganch | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: AGMK (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mashal Mubarek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/09 | Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL |
1-3 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 26/08 | Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 19/08 | FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 27/07 | AGMK Uzbekistan PFL |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
AGMK
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/09 | Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 03/09 | Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 25/08 | Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/08 | Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/08 | FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL |
3-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 27/07 | Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mashal Mubarek vs AGMK?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AGMK win (50%). Probabilities: Mashal Mubarek 24%, draw 26%, AGMK 50%.
How many goals are expected in Mashal Mubarek vs AGMK?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Mashal Mubarek 1.1 · AGMK 1.68), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Mashal Mubarek vs AGMK?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.