Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 25/10, 14:15

Prediction: Dinamo Samarqand vs FK Andijan

Team pages: Dinamo Samarqand · FK Andijan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Dinamo Samarqand1.52

FK Andijan1.07

1X2

46% 30% 24%

Dinamo Samarqand Draw FK Andijan

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Dinamo Samarqand 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWDDWLLL

FK Andijan 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Dinamo Samarqand 2–2–2 FK Andijan (6 last)

FK Andijan2-1Dinamo Samarqand
Dinamo Samarqand2-0FK Andijan
FK Andijan1-1Dinamo Samarqand
FK Andijan1-2Dinamo Samarqand
FK Andijan3-0Dinamo Samarqand
Dinamo Samarqand1-1FK Andijan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dinamo Samarqand 1480 · FK Andijan 1469

	Dinamo Samarqand	Draw	FK Andijan
Our model	46%	28%	25%
Market	45%	32%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dinamo Samarqand	FK Andijan
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	0.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.85

X2.63

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 2.13
X	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 3.26 ★
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 20.7% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:10 +6’	1.85	2.63	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:15 +181’	2.13	3.26	3.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Samarqand 2–2–2 FK Andijan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/04/26 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	2-1 HT 0-0	Dinamo Samarqand
15/11/25 Uzbekistan PFL	Dinamo Samarqand	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Andijan
13/05/25 Uzbekistan Cup	FK Andijan	1-1 HT 1-1	Dinamo Samarqand
20/04/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	1-2 HT 0-0	Dinamo Samarqand
23/11/24 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	3-0 HT 2-0	Dinamo Samarqand
22/06/24 Uzbekistan PFL	Dinamo Samarqand	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Andijan

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	25	18	4	3	59	22	58
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	25	15	8	2	44	25	53
3	Navbahor Namangan	24	13	7	4	42	24	46
4	FK Buxoro	25	12	5	8	37	32	41
5	AGMK	24	11	6	7	34	31	39
6	Lokomotiv Tashkent	24	11	6	7	39	30	39
7	Nasaf Qarshi	24	10	8	6	35	22	38
8	Qizilqum Zarafshon	24	10	3	11	24	30	33
9	FK Andijan	24	9	3	12	29	32	30
10	Dinamo Samarqand	24	8	6	10	35	38	30
11	Sogdiana Jizzakh	24	8	5	11	41	47	29
12	Termez Surkhon	25	7	8	10	19	28	29
13	FC Bunyodkor	25	8	2	15	26	41	26
14	FK Kokand 1912	24	5	8	11	24	34	23
15	Xorazm Urganch	24	5	8	11	20	34	23
16	Mashal Mubarek	25	1	1	23	12	50	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dinamo Samarqand	FK Andijan
FK Buxoro	1-2 L	2-3 L
Nasaf Qarshi	1-2 L	1-4 L
Qizilqum Zarafshon	1-0 W	0-1 L
FK Kokand 1912	1-1 D	2-1 W
Pakhtakor Tashkent	1-1 D	0-3 L
Xorazm Urganch	2-2 D	1-0 W
Neftchi Fergana	0-0 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Samarqand (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dinamo Samarqand

DLDWDDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-2	9	3	L
09/10	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
17/09	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	2-3	2-3	1	6	L
10/09	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
05/09	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
25/08	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
19/08	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
14/08	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	2-2	8	1	D
07/08	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	1-2	3	0	L
03/08	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

FK Andijan

DLLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
09/10	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-3	5	3	L
20/09	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	1-4	3	2	L
10/09	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	2-1	11	4	W
04/09	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
25/08	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
19/08	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
13/08	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-3	7	5	L
06/08	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
01/08	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dinamo Samarqand vs FK Andijan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Samarqand win (46%). Probabilities: Dinamo Samarqand 46%, draw 30%, FK Andijan 24%.

How many goals are expected in Dinamo Samarqand vs FK Andijan?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Dinamo Samarqand 1.52 · FK Andijan 1.07), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Samarqand vs FK Andijan?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.