Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 06/11, 14:30
Prediction: Sogdiana Jizzakh vs Dinamo Samarqand
Team pages: Sogdiana Jizzakh · Dinamo Samarqand
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Sogdiana Jizzakh1.58
Dinamo Samarqand1.4
1X2
Sogdiana Jizzakh
Draw
Dinamo Samarqand
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sogdiana Jizzakh
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Dinamo Samarqand
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sogdiana Jizzakh
2–2–2
Dinamo Samarqand
(6 last)
- Dinamo Samarqand2-1Sogdiana Jizzakh
- Sogdiana Jizzakh1-1Dinamo Samarqand
- Dinamo Samarqand1-1Sogdiana Jizzakh
- Dinamo Samarqand1-0Sogdiana Jizzakh
- Sogdiana Jizzakh4-2Dinamo Samarqand
- Dinamo Samarqand1-2Sogdiana Jizzakh
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sogdiana Jizzakh 1467 · Dinamo Samarqand 1507
| Sogdiana Jizzakh | Draw | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 27% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Samarqand (rating 1467 vs 1507).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sogdiana Jizzakh | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sogdiana Jizzakh 2–2–2 Dinamo Samarqand
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Uzbekistan PFL | Dinamo Samarqand | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sogdiana Jizzakh |
| 20/08/25 Uzbekistan PFL | Sogdiana Jizzakh | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Samarqand |
| 12/04/25 Uzbekistan PFL | Dinamo Samarqand | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sogdiana Jizzakh |
| 30/11/24 Uzbekistan PFL | Dinamo Samarqand | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sogdiana Jizzakh |
| 28/06/24 Uzbekistan PFL | Sogdiana Jizzakh | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Dinamo Samarqand |
| 11/08/22 Uzbekistan PFL | Dinamo Samarqand | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sogdiana Jizzakh |
Standings · Uzbekistan PFL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fergana | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 58 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 56 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 25 | 52 |
| 4 | AGMK | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 33 | 45 |
| 5 | Nasaf Qarshi | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 38 | 24 | 42 |
| 6 | FK Buxoro | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 33 | 42 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 35 |
| 9 | Dinamo Samarqand | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 34 |
| 10 | FK Andijan | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 34 | 31 |
| 11 | Sogdiana Jizzakh | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 50 | 30 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 29 | 30 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 38 | 26 |
| 14 | FC Bunyodkor | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 27 | 43 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Kokand 1912 | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 36 | 24 |
| 16 | Mashal Mubarek | 26 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 53 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sogdiana Jizzakh | Dinamo Samarqand |
|---|---|---|
| FK Buxoro | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Nasaf Qarshi | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| AGMK | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Xorazm Urganch | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Mashal Mubarek | 5-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sogdiana Jizzakh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 24/10 | Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/10 | FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | AGMK Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/09 | Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL |
3-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/08 | Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Dinamo Samarqand
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 09/10 | Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/09 | Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL |
2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 10/09 | Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/08 | Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/08 | AGMK Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sogdiana Jizzakh vs Dinamo Samarqand?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sogdiana Jizzakh win (41%). Probabilities: Sogdiana Jizzakh 41%, draw 27%, Dinamo Samarqand 33%.
How many goals are expected in Sogdiana Jizzakh vs Dinamo Samarqand?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Sogdiana Jizzakh 1.58 · Dinamo Samarqand 1.4), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sogdiana Jizzakh vs Dinamo Samarqand?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.