Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: IFK Stocksund vs Gefle IF

Team pages: IFK Stocksund · Gefle IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

IFK Stocksund1.48

Gefle IF1.71

1X2

33% 25% 42%

IFK Stocksund Draw Gefle IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Stocksund 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDDLWDLLDL

Gefle IF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLDLLWW

Head-to-head

IFK Stocksund 1–1–1 Gefle IF (3 last)

Gefle IF2-1IFK Stocksund
IFK Stocksund2-2Gefle IF
Gefle IF1-2IFK Stocksund

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Stocksund 1451 · Gefle IF 1483

	IFK Stocksund	Draw	Gefle IF
Our model	33%	25%	42%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Stocksund	Gefle IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	0.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:08 +11’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Stocksund 1–1–1 Gefle IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Gefle IF	2-1 HT 0-1	IFK Stocksund
27/09/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	2-2 HT 1-2	Gefle IF
04/05/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Gefle IF	1-2 HT 1-1	IFK Stocksund

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	15	11	2	2	43	12	35
2	IF Karlstad Fotboll	15	10	3	2	24	10	33
3	FC Stockholm Internazionale	15	9	3	3	32	14	30
4	FC Arlanda	15	8	5	2	24	15	29
5	Enkopings SK	15	8	1	6	25	25	25
6	FBK Karlstad	15	7	3	5	23	22	24
7	AFC Eskilstuna	15	6	4	5	24	24	22
8	Karlbergs BK	15	6	3	6	25	23	21
9	Assyriska Föreningen	15	4	5	6	24	29	17
10	Gefle IF	15	5	2	8	19	29	17
11	Umeå FC	15	4	4	7	20	25	16
12	Vasalunds IF	15	4	4	7	21	31	16
13	FC Järfälla	15	4	3	8	21	31	15
14	Sollentuna United FF	15	2	8	5	13	20	14
15	Piteå IF	15	2	3	10	16	34	9
16	IFK Stocksund	15	1	5	9	28	38	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Stocksund	Gefle IF
FC Arlanda	0-1 L	3-2 W
FC Järfälla	6-1 W	0-4 L
FC Stockholm Internazionale	0-1 L	0-2 L
Assyriska Föreningen	3-3 D	0-0 D
Piteå IF	2-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IFK Stocksund

LDDLWDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
25/07	Sollentuna United FF Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
27/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	1	5	L
18/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
13/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-3	7	5	D
08/06	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	3-1	6-1	1	7	W
04/06	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden Cup Qualification	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
31/05	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-2	4	3	D
23/05	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	3-3	8	5	D
17/05	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-2	2-3	5	2	L

Gefle IF

LDLWLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
27/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
18/06	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
13/06	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
10/06	Falu BS FK Sweden Cup	0-0	0-0	9	1	D
06/06	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
01/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-2	0	3	W
23/05	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-4	8	4	L
17/05	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
14/05	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Stocksund vs Gefle IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gefle IF win (42%). Probabilities: IFK Stocksund 33%, draw 25%, Gefle IF 42%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Stocksund vs Gefle IF?

The model expects 3.19 goals (IFK Stocksund 1.48 · Gefle IF 1.71), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Stocksund vs Gefle IF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.