Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: AFC Eskilstuna vs Hammarby TFF

Team pages: AFC Eskilstuna · Hammarby TFF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

AFC Eskilstuna1.29

Hammarby TFF1.92

1X2

25% 23% 52%

AFC Eskilstuna Draw Hammarby TFF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Eskilstuna 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWDWWW

Hammarby TFF 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWDWWD

Head-to-head

AFC Eskilstuna 2–1–2 Hammarby TFF (5 last)

Hammarby TFF1-2AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna3-1Hammarby TFF
Hammarby TFF1-1AFC Eskilstuna
Hammarby TFF2-1AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna0-1Hammarby TFF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Eskilstuna 1585 · Hammarby TFF 1577

	AFC Eskilstuna	Draw	Hammarby TFF
Our model	25%	24%	51%
Market	26%	22%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Eskilstuna	Hammarby TFF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	2.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.2	2.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.50

X4.00

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.75▲	Bet365 3.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.73 → 1.67▼	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +2’	3.50	4.00	1.73
19:02 +2’	3.75▲	4.00	1.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Eskilstuna 2–1–2 Hammarby TFF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	1-2 HT 0-2	AFC Eskilstuna
27/09/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	3-1 HT 2-0	Hammarby TFF
11/04/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	1-1 HT 1-1	AFC Eskilstuna
04/08/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	2-1 HT 1-0	AFC Eskilstuna
03/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	0-1 HT 0-0	Hammarby TFF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	16	11	3	2	44	13	36
2	IF Karlstad Fotboll	16	11	3	2	28	11	36
3	FC Stockholm Internazionale	16	9	3	4	32	16	30
4	FC Arlanda	16	8	6	2	24	15	30
5	Enkopings SK	16	9	1	6	27	26	28
6	AFC Eskilstuna	16	7	4	5	27	25	25
7	FBK Karlstad	16	7	4	5	24	23	25
8	Karlbergs BK	16	6	3	7	26	25	21
9	Assyriska Föreningen	16	5	5	6	27	29	20
10	Vasalunds IF	16	5	4	7	23	31	19
11	Gefle IF	16	5	2	9	19	34	17
12	Umeå FC	16	4	4	8	21	28	16
13	FC Järfälla	16	4	3	9	22	35	15
14	Sollentuna United FF	16	2	8	6	13	23	14
15	IFK Stocksund	16	2	5	9	33	38	11
16	Piteå IF	16	2	4	10	16	34	10

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Eskilstuna	Hammarby TFF
Sollentuna United FF	4-1 W	2-0 W
Karlbergs BK	3-2 W	2-0 W
FC Arlanda	0-0 D	5-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby TFF (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

AFC Eskilstuna

DLWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
02/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
26/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
21/06	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	9	2	D
14/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
09/06	Konyaspor KIF Sweden Cup Qualification	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
04/06	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-2	4	4	W
30/05	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	1	3	W
24/05	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	4	6	L
18/05	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	7	1	D

Hammarby TFF

WWWLWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
03/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	5-1	3	5	W
26/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	7-0	8	1	W
18/06	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
14/06	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
06/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-0	5	3	W
30/05	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	6	3	L
23/05	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	8	7	W
16/05	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
13/05	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Eskilstuna vs Hammarby TFF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hammarby TFF win (52%). Probabilities: AFC Eskilstuna 25%, draw 23%, Hammarby TFF 52%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Eskilstuna vs Hammarby TFF?

The model expects 3.21 goals (AFC Eskilstuna 1.29 · Hammarby TFF 1.92), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Eskilstuna vs Hammarby TFF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.