Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby TFF

Team pages: FC Stockholm Internazionale · Hammarby TFF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

FC Stockholm Internazionale1.64

Hammarby TFF1.2

1X2

46% 27% 27%

FC Stockholm Internazionale Draw Hammarby TFF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Stockholm Internazionale 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Hammarby TFF 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Stockholm Internazionale 2–2–2 Hammarby TFF (6 last)

Hammarby TFF3-1FC Stockholm Internazionale
Hammarby TFF1-1FC Stockholm Internazionale
Hammarby TFF0-0FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale2-3Hammarby TFF
Hammarby TFF0-1FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale2-0Hammarby TFF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Stockholm Internazionale 1560 · Hammarby TFF 1542

	FC Stockholm Internazionale	Draw	Hammarby TFF
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	46%	28%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.4 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Stockholm Internazionale	Hammarby TFF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.7	2.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.1	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.20

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.08
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.86 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:27 +9’	1.95	3.20	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:48	2.27	2.72	3.54
15:43 +1’	2.08▼	2.85▲	3.86▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Stockholm Internazionale 2–2–2 Hammarby TFF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	3-1 HT 0-0	FC Stockholm Internazionale
11/08/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Stockholm Internazionale
26/07/25 Europe Friendlies	Hammarby TFF	0-0	FC Stockholm Internazionale
19/04/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	2-3 HT 1-0	Hammarby TFF
02/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Stockholm Internazionale
09/06/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	2-0 HT 1-0	Hammarby TFF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	19	12	3	4	41	17	39
2	Hammarby TFF	19	11	5	3	45	15	38
3	IF Karlstad Fotboll	19	11	4	4	31	17	37
4	FC Arlanda	19	10	6	3	33	22	36
5	AFC Eskilstuna	19	10	4	5	33	26	34
6	FBK Karlstad	19	9	4	6	31	31	31
7	Assyriska Föreningen	20	8	5	7	34	32	29
8	Enkopings SK	19	9	2	8	27	31	29
9	Karlbergs BK	19	7	4	8	28	28	25
10	Gefle IF	19	7	3	9	25	37	24
11	Vasalunds IF	19	6	5	8	30	38	23
12	Umeå FC	19	5	5	9	24	32	20
13	Sollentuna United FF	19	4	8	7	18	27	20
14	FC Järfälla	19	4	3	12	23	41	15
15	Piteå IF	19	2	6	11	21	40	12
16	IFK Stocksund	20	2	5	13	39	49	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Stockholm Internazionale	Hammarby TFF
FC Järfälla	2-0 W	1-1 D
FC Arlanda	4-1 W	5-1 W
Gefle IF	2-0 W	4-0 W
FBK Karlstad	3-1 W	1-1 D
Piteå IF	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Stockholm Internazionale

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
21/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
16/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	4-1	5	1	W
09/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	9	4	L
01/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-0	5	1	W
27/06	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
18/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
14/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	5	1	W
08/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	4-1	5	3	W
31/05	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-2	6	3	D

Hammarby TFF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
23/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
14/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	6	0	L
09/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
03/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	5-1	3	5	W
26/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	7-0	8	1	W
18/06	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
14/06	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
06/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-0	5	3	W
30/05	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby TFF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Stockholm Internazionale win (46%). Probabilities: FC Stockholm Internazionale 46%, draw 27%, Hammarby TFF 27%.

How many goals are expected in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby TFF?

The model expects 2.84 goals (FC Stockholm Internazionale 1.64 · Hammarby TFF 1.2), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby TFF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.