Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 13/09, 15:00

Prediction: AFC Eskilstuna vs Piteå IF

Team pages: AFC Eskilstuna · Piteå IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

AFC Eskilstuna2.13

Piteå IF1.12

1X2

60% 22% 19%

AFC Eskilstuna Draw Piteå IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Eskilstuna 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWWW

Piteå IF 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLLDDDLW

Head-to-head

AFC Eskilstuna 1–1–1 Piteå IF (3 last)

Piteå IF2-2AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna2-1Piteå IF
Piteå IF2-1AFC Eskilstuna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Eskilstuna 1602 · Piteå IF 1443

	AFC Eskilstuna	Draw	Piteå IF
Our model	59%	22%	18%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Eskilstuna (rating 1602 vs 1443).
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Eskilstuna	Piteå IF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.2	2.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.59 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:12 +14’	1.50	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:52 +57’	1.68	3.84	4.23
11:55 +104’	1.58▼	4.02▲	4.75▲
17:30 +223’	1.59▲	3.95▼	4.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Eskilstuna 1–1–1 Piteå IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	2-2 HT 1-1	AFC Eskilstuna
27/10/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	2-1 HT 1-0	Piteå IF
13/04/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	2-1 HT 0-0	AFC Eskilstuna

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	20	13	3	4	44	17	42
2	Hammarby TFF	21	12	5	4	46	18	41
3	IF Karlstad Fotboll	21	11	4	6	33	21	37
4	AFC Eskilstuna	20	11	4	5	35	27	37
5	FBK Karlstad	21	11	4	6	36	32	37
6	FC Arlanda	21	10	6	5	34	25	36
7	Enkopings SK	21	11	2	8	32	34	35
8	Assyriska Föreningen	21	8	5	8	35	34	29
9	Karlbergs BK	21	8	4	9	29	31	28
10	Gefle IF	21	8	3	10	28	39	27
11	Umeå FC	20	6	5	9	26	33	23
12	Sollentuna United FF	21	5	8	8	19	28	23
13	Vasalunds IF	21	6	5	10	33	43	23
14	Piteå IF	20	3	6	11	24	40	15
15	FC Järfälla	21	4	3	14	24	47	15
16	IFK Stocksund	21	3	5	13	41	50	14

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Eskilstuna	Piteå IF
Karlbergs BK	3-0 W	3-0 W
Hammarby TFF	1-0 W	1-1 D
Umeå FC	3-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Eskilstuna (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Eskilstuna

WWDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
29/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-1	3	2	W
23/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
14/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
09/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
02/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
26/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
21/06	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	9	2	D
14/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
04/06	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-2	4	4	W

Piteå IF

LLDLLDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
30/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-4	8	0	L
23/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
16/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
09/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
01/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
24/06	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-3	4	4	L
21/06	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	2	2	D
12/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
07/06	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	0	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Eskilstuna vs Piteå IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Eskilstuna win (60%). Probabilities: AFC Eskilstuna 60%, draw 22%, Piteå IF 19%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Eskilstuna vs Piteå IF?

The model expects 3.25 goals (AFC Eskilstuna 2.13 · Piteå IF 1.12), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Eskilstuna vs Piteå IF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.