Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: IFK Stocksund vs IF Karlstad Fotboll

Team pages: IFK Stocksund · IF Karlstad Fotboll

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

IFK Stocksund1.29

IF Karlstad Fotboll2.1

1X2

22% 23% 55%

IFK Stocksund Draw IF Karlstad Fotboll

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Stocksund 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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IF Karlstad Fotboll 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWLLDL

Head-to-head

IFK Stocksund 1–5 IF Karlstad Fotboll (6 last)

IF Karlstad Fotboll1-0IFK Stocksund
IFK Stocksund1-4IF Karlstad Fotboll
IF Karlstad Fotboll4-1IFK Stocksund
IFK Stocksund4-1IF Karlstad Fotboll
IF Karlstad Fotboll2-1IFK Stocksund
IF Karlstad Fotboll2-0IFK Stocksund

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Stocksund 1443 · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1496

	IFK Stocksund	Draw	IF Karlstad Fotboll
Our model	22%	23%	55%
Market	22%	22%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IF Karlstad Fotboll (rating 1443 vs 1496).
H2H favours IF Karlstad Fotboll: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Stocksund	IF Karlstad Fotboll
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.2	2.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.00

X4.00

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:12 +1’	4.00	4.00	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Stocksund 1–0–5 IF Karlstad Fotboll

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	IF Karlstad Fotboll	1-0 HT 1-0	IFK Stocksund
16/08/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	1-4 HT 1-3	IF Karlstad Fotboll
11/05/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	IF Karlstad Fotboll	4-1 HT 2-0	IFK Stocksund
28/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	4-1 HT 1-0	IF Karlstad Fotboll
18/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-1 HT 0-1	IFK Stocksund
12/11/23 Sweden 1.div Norra	IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-0 HT 0-0	IFK Stocksund

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	20	13	3	4	44	17	42
2	Hammarby TFF	20	11	5	4	45	18	38
3	IF Karlstad Fotboll	20	11	4	5	32	19	37
4	AFC Eskilstuna	20	11	4	5	35	27	37
5	FC Arlanda	20	10	6	4	34	24	36
6	FBK Karlstad	20	10	4	6	34	31	34
7	Enkopings SK	20	10	2	8	30	33	32
8	Assyriska Föreningen	20	8	5	7	34	32	29
9	Karlbergs BK	20	7	4	9	28	31	25
10	Gefle IF	20	7	3	10	25	38	24
11	Umeå FC	20	6	5	9	26	33	23
12	Sollentuna United FF	20	5	8	7	19	27	23
13	Vasalunds IF	20	6	5	9	32	41	23
14	Piteå IF	20	3	6	11	24	40	15
15	FC Järfälla	20	4	3	13	23	44	15
16	IFK Stocksund	20	2	5	13	39	49	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Stocksund	IF Karlstad Fotboll
Assyriska Föreningen	1-2 L	0-2 L
FC Arlanda	2-3 L	0-1 L
Gefle IF	5-0 W	2-2 D
Sollentuna United FF	3-3 D	1-2 L
FC Järfälla	6-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Stocksund (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Stocksund

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	2	4	L
29/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	2-3	8	6	L
23/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-4	5	2	L
15/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
08/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	5-0	6	3	W
01/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
27/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	1	5	L
18/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
13/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-3	7	5	D
08/06	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	3-1	6-1	1	7	W

IF Karlstad Fotboll

WWDLWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
29/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
22/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
15/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
08/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-1	6	2	W
02/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
27/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
21/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
13/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
05/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-2	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Stocksund vs IF Karlstad Fotboll?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IF Karlstad Fotboll win (55%). Probabilities: IFK Stocksund 22%, draw 23%, IF Karlstad Fotboll 55%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Stocksund vs IF Karlstad Fotboll?

The model expects 3.38 goals (IFK Stocksund 1.29 · IF Karlstad Fotboll 2.1), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Stocksund vs IF Karlstad Fotboll?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.