Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Hammarby TFF vs Sollentuna United FF

Team pages: Hammarby TFF · Sollentuna United FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Hammarby TFF2.37

Sollentuna United FF0.89

1X2

70% 18% 12%

Hammarby TFF Draw Sollentuna United FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hammarby TFF 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDLDDL

Sollentuna United FF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLDLWWLW

Head-to-head

Hammarby TFF 6–0 Sollentuna United FF (6 last)

Sollentuna United FF0-2Hammarby TFF
Hammarby TFF4-0Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF2-3Hammarby TFF
Sollentuna United FF0-4Hammarby TFF
Hammarby TFF3-1Sollentuna United FF
Hammarby TFF3-0Sollentuna United FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hammarby TFF 1557 · Sollentuna United FF 1433

	Hammarby TFF	Draw	Sollentuna United FF
Our model	70%	19%	12%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby TFF (rating 1557 vs 1433).
H2H favours Hammarby TFF: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hammarby TFF	Sollentuna United FF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.2	1.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.1	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
07:51 +5’	1.28	5.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby TFF 6–0–0 Sollentuna United FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	0-2 HT 0-1	Hammarby TFF
22/09/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	4-0 HT 3-0	Sollentuna United FF
04/04/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	2-3 HT 1-2	Hammarby TFF
26/10/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	0-4 HT 0-2	Hammarby TFF
04/06/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	3-1 HT 1-1	Sollentuna United FF
03/03/24 Club Friendly List	Hammarby TFF	3-0 HT 2-0	Sollentuna United FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	20	13	3	4	44	17	42
2	Hammarby TFF	20	11	5	4	45	18	38
3	IF Karlstad Fotboll	20	11	4	5	32	19	37
4	AFC Eskilstuna	20	11	4	5	35	27	37
5	FC Arlanda	20	10	6	4	34	24	36
6	FBK Karlstad	20	10	4	6	34	31	34
7	Enkopings SK	20	10	2	8	30	33	32
8	Assyriska Föreningen	20	8	5	7	34	32	29
9	Karlbergs BK	20	7	4	9	28	31	25
10	Gefle IF	20	7	3	10	25	38	24
11	Umeå FC	20	6	5	9	26	33	23
12	Sollentuna United FF	20	5	8	7	19	27	23
13	Vasalunds IF	20	6	5	9	32	41	23
14	Piteå IF	20	3	6	11	24	40	15
15	FC Järfälla	20	4	3	13	23	44	15
16	IFK Stocksund	20	2	5	13	39	49	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hammarby TFF	Sollentuna United FF
AFC Eskilstuna	0-1 L	1-2 L
FBK Karlstad	1-1 D	0-2 L
FC Järfälla	1-1 D	2-1 W
Gefle IF	4-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby TFF (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hammarby TFF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	5	2	L
31/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
23/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
14/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	6	0	L
09/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
03/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	5-1	3	5	W
26/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	7-0	8	1	W
18/06	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
14/06	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
06/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-0	5	3	W

Sollentuna United FF

DDLLDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
29/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
22/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
15/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
03/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
26/06	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-4	2	2	L
18/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
13/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-3	2	5	D
07/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	10	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hammarby TFF vs Sollentuna United FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby TFF win (70%). Probabilities: Hammarby TFF 70%, draw 18%, Sollentuna United FF 12%.

How many goals are expected in Hammarby TFF vs Sollentuna United FF?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Hammarby TFF 2.37 · Sollentuna United FF 0.89), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hammarby TFF vs Sollentuna United FF?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.