Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 21/09, 19:00

Prediction: Vasalunds IF vs Assyriska Föreningen

Team pages: Vasalunds IF · Assyriska Föreningen

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Vasalunds IF1.6

Assyriska Föreningen1.58

1X2

38% 25% 37%

Vasalunds IF Draw Assyriska Föreningen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Vasalunds IF 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWDWLLLD

Assyriska Föreningen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLWWLL

Head-to-head

Vasalunds IF 3–3 Assyriska Föreningen (6 last)

Assyriska Föreningen3-1Vasalunds IF
Assyriska Föreningen0-1Vasalunds IF
Vasalunds IF1-2Assyriska Föreningen
Assyriska Föreningen3-0Vasalunds IF
Assyriska Föreningen2-3Vasalunds IF
Vasalunds IF2-1Assyriska Föreningen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vasalunds IF 1465 · Assyriska Föreningen 1516

	Vasalunds IF	Draw	Assyriska Föreningen
Our model	38%	26%	37%
Market	38%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Assyriska Föreningen (rating 1465 vs 1516).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vasalunds IF	Assyriska Föreningen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2.6 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.70

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 18:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.35▲	Bet365 2.35
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.80 → 2.40▼	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:06 +5’	2.05	3.70	2.80
11:56 +5’	2.10▲	3.60▼	2.80
13:56 +5’	2.10	3.70▲	2.70▼
17:01 +1’	2.20▲	3.70	2.55▼
17:57 +5’	2.35▲	3.70	2.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasalunds IF 3–0–3 Assyriska Föreningen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	3-1 HT 2-1	Vasalunds IF
28/05/26 Sweden Cup Qualification	Assyriska Föreningen	0-1 HT 0-1	Vasalunds IF
14/09/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Vasalunds IF	1-2 HT 0-1	Assyriska Föreningen
05/05/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	3-0 HT 0-0	Vasalunds IF
22/03/25 Club Friendly List	Assyriska Föreningen	2-3 HT 2-0	Vasalunds IF
25/08/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Vasalunds IF	2-1 HT 0-1	Assyriska Föreningen

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	23	16	3	4	55	19	51
2	AFC Eskilstuna	23	13	4	6	41	30	43
3	Hammarby TFF	22	12	6	4	46	18	42
4	IF Karlstad Fotboll	23	11	6	6	35	23	39
5	FC Arlanda	22	11	6	5	36	25	39
6	FBK Karlstad	23	11	6	6	36	32	39
7	Enkopings SK	23	12	3	8	37	38	39
8	Gefle IF	23	9	3	11	29	41	30
9	Assyriska Föreningen	22	8	5	9	37	39	29
10	Umeå FC	23	8	5	10	31	37	29
11	Karlbergs BK	23	8	4	11	29	38	28
12	Vasalunds IF	22	6	6	10	33	43	24
13	Sollentuna United FF	23	5	9	9	21	31	24
14	Piteå IF	23	4	6	13	27	44	18
15	FC Järfälla	23	5	3	15	30	50	18
16	IFK Stocksund	23	3	5	15	43	58	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vasalunds IF	Assyriska Föreningen
FBK Karlstad	1-2 L	2-0 W
Enkopings SK	2-3 L	1-2 L
IFK Stocksund	4-3 W	2-1 W
Sollentuna United FF	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Assyriska Föreningen (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vasalunds IF

LLDWDWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
12/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
06/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-3	3	0	L
30/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	2-3	10	4	L
23/08	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-3	6	2	W
16/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
09/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
03/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
26/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
18/06	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-3	0-4	8	5	L

Assyriska Föreningen

DWWWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	2-5	7	4	L
10/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
04/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
23/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
09/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
01/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
26/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
21/06	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vasalunds IF vs Assyriska Föreningen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vasalunds IF win (38%). Probabilities: Vasalunds IF 38%, draw 25%, Assyriska Föreningen 37%.

How many goals are expected in Vasalunds IF vs Assyriska Föreningen?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Vasalunds IF 1.6 · Assyriska Föreningen 1.58), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vasalunds IF vs Assyriska Föreningen?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.