Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 17/09, 19:00

Prediction: FC Stockholm Internazionale vs IFK Stocksund

Team pages: FC Stockholm Internazionale · IFK Stocksund

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

FC Stockholm Internazionale2.84

IFK Stocksund0.84

1X2

79% 14% 7%

FC Stockholm Internazionale Draw IFK Stocksund

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Stockholm Internazionale 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWWW

IFK Stocksund 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLLLLW

Head-to-head

FC Stockholm Internazionale 6–0 IFK Stocksund (6 last)

IFK Stocksund0-1FC Stockholm Internazionale
IFK Stocksund1-6FC Stockholm Internazionale
IFK Stocksund0-2FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale5-0IFK Stocksund
IFK Stocksund0-2FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale3-0IFK Stocksund

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Stockholm Internazionale 1606 · IFK Stocksund 1428

	FC Stockholm Internazionale	Draw	IFK Stocksund
Our model	78%	14%	8%
Market	80%	13%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Stockholm Internazionale (rating 1606 vs 1428).
H2H favours FC Stockholm Internazionale: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Stockholm Internazionale	IFK Stocksund
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.4	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	1.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.95

2 (+2.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:06 +10’	1.17	7.00	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Stockholm Internazionale 6–0–0 IFK Stocksund

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/06/26 Sweden Cup Qualification	IFK Stocksund	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Stockholm Internazionale
09/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	1-6 HT 0-1	FC Stockholm Internazionale
13/09/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Stockholm Internazionale
05/04/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	5-0 HT 4-0	IFK Stocksund
27/10/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Stockholm Internazionale
06/04/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	3-0 HT 2-0	IFK Stocksund

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	21	14	3	4	48	17	45
2	Hammarby TFF	21	12	5	4	46	18	41
3	AFC Eskilstuna	21	12	4	5	36	27	40
4	IF Karlstad Fotboll	21	11	4	6	33	21	37
5	FBK Karlstad	21	11	4	6	36	32	37
6	FC Arlanda	21	10	6	5	34	25	36
7	Enkopings SK	21	11	2	8	32	34	35
8	Assyriska Föreningen	21	8	5	8	35	34	29
9	Karlbergs BK	21	8	4	9	29	31	28
10	Gefle IF	21	8	3	10	28	39	27
11	Sollentuna United FF	21	5	8	8	19	28	23
12	Vasalunds IF	21	6	5	10	33	43	23
13	Umeå FC	21	6	5	10	26	37	23
14	Piteå IF	21	3	6	12	24	41	15
15	FC Järfälla	21	4	3	14	24	47	15
16	IFK Stocksund	21	3	5	13	41	50	14

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Stockholm Internazionale	IFK Stocksund
FC Arlanda	4-1 W	2-3 L
Vasalunds IF	0-2 L	3-4 L
Gefle IF	2-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Stocksund (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Stockholm Internazionale

WWWWLWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-0	4	4	W
05/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-0	2	2	W
30/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
21/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
16/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	4-1	5	1	W
09/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	9	4	L
01/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-0	5	1	W
27/06	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
18/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
14/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	5	1	W

IFK Stocksund

DLLLWLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	2	7	W
04/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	2	4	L
29/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	2-3	8	6	L
23/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-4	5	2	L
15/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
08/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	5-0	6	3	W
01/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
27/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	1	5	L
18/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
13/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-3	7	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs IFK Stocksund?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Stockholm Internazionale win (79%). Probabilities: FC Stockholm Internazionale 79%, draw 14%, IFK Stocksund 7%.

How many goals are expected in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs IFK Stocksund?

The model expects 3.67 goals (FC Stockholm Internazionale 2.84 · IFK Stocksund 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs IFK Stocksund?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.