Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 27/09, 16:00

Prediction: Assyriska Föreningen vs Piteå IF

Team pages: Assyriska Föreningen · Piteå IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Assyriska Föreningen1.95

Piteå IF1.17

1X2

55% 23% 22%

Assyriska Föreningen Draw Piteå IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Assyriska Föreningen 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWLLW

Piteå IF 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDDLWLLW

Head-to-head

Assyriska Föreningen 2–2–1 Piteå IF (5 last)

Piteå IF0-2Assyriska Föreningen
Assyriska Föreningen2-1Piteå IF
Piteå IF1-1Assyriska Föreningen
Assyriska Föreningen1-1Piteå IF
Piteå IF3-2Assyriska Föreningen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Assyriska Föreningen 1556 · Piteå IF 1442

	Assyriska Föreningen	Draw	Piteå IF
Our model	55%	24%	22%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Assyriska Föreningen (rating 1556 vs 1442).
H2H favours Assyriska Föreningen: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Assyriska Föreningen	Piteå IF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.2	2.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:41 +17’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Assyriska Föreningen 2–2–1 Piteå IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	0-2 HT 0-1	Assyriska Föreningen
08/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	2-1 HT 2-1	Piteå IF
31/03/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	1-1 HT 0-0	Assyriska Föreningen
03/10/21 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	1-1 HT 1-0	Piteå IF
19/06/21 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	3-2 HT 0-1	Assyriska Föreningen

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	23	16	3	4	55	19	51
2	AFC Eskilstuna	23	13	4	6	41	30	43
3	Hammarby TFF	23	12	6	5	48	22	42
4	FC Arlanda	23	12	6	5	40	27	42
5	IF Karlstad Fotboll	23	11	6	6	35	23	39
6	FBK Karlstad	23	11	6	6	36	32	39
7	Enkopings SK	23	12	3	8	37	38	39
8	Assyriska Föreningen	23	9	5	9	42	40	32
9	Gefle IF	23	9	3	11	29	41	30
10	Umeå FC	23	8	5	10	31	37	29
11	Karlbergs BK	23	8	4	11	29	38	28
12	Sollentuna United FF	23	5	9	9	21	31	24
13	Vasalunds IF	23	6	6	11	34	48	24
14	Piteå IF	23	4	6	13	27	44	18
15	FC Järfälla	23	5	3	15	30	50	18
16	IFK Stocksund	23	3	5	15	43	58	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Assyriska Föreningen	Piteå IF
Vasalunds IF	5-1 W	1-1 D
AFC Eskilstuna	2-5 L	0-1 L
FC Järfälla	2-0 W	3-1 W
Gefle IF	1-2 L	0-2 L
FBK Karlstad	2-0 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Assyriska Föreningen (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Assyriska Föreningen

WWWWLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	5-1	3	4	W
17/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	2-5	7	4	L
10/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
04/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
23/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
09/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
01/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
26/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	4	3	W

Piteå IF

LLDDDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-1	5	7	W
16/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
13/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
06/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
30/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-4	8	0	L
23/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
16/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
09/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
01/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
24/06	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-3	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Assyriska Föreningen vs Piteå IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Assyriska Föreningen win (55%). Probabilities: Assyriska Föreningen 55%, draw 23%, Piteå IF 22%.

How many goals are expected in Assyriska Föreningen vs Piteå IF?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Assyriska Föreningen 1.95 · Piteå IF 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Assyriska Föreningen vs Piteå IF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.