Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: FC Järfälla vs AFC Eskilstuna

Team pages: FC Järfälla · AFC Eskilstuna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

FC Järfälla1.42

AFC Eskilstuna2.18

1X2

24% 23% 54%

FC Järfälla Draw AFC Eskilstuna

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Järfälla 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLWL

AFC Eskilstuna 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWL

Head-to-head

FC Järfälla 0–1–0 AFC Eskilstuna (1 last)

AFC Eskilstuna1-1FC Järfälla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Järfälla 1425 · AFC Eskilstuna 1593

	FC Järfälla	Draw	AFC Eskilstuna
Our model	24%	22%	54%
Market	24%	23%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Eskilstuna (rating 1425 vs 1593).
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Järfälla	AFC Eskilstuna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.4	2.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.8	2.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.90

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.93

2 (-0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
20:23 +5’	3.80	3.90	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Järfälla 0–1–0 AFC Eskilstuna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Järfälla

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	23	16	3	4	55	19	51
2	AFC Eskilstuna	23	13	4	6	41	30	43
3	Hammarby TFF	23	12	6	5	48	22	42
4	FC Arlanda	23	12	6	5	40	27	42
5	IF Karlstad Fotboll	23	11	6	6	35	23	39
6	FBK Karlstad	23	11	6	6	36	32	39
7	Enkopings SK	23	12	3	8	37	38	39
8	Assyriska Föreningen	23	9	5	9	42	40	32
9	Gefle IF	23	9	3	11	29	41	30
10	Umeå FC	23	8	5	10	31	37	29
11	Karlbergs BK	23	8	4	11	29	38	28
12	Sollentuna United FF	23	5	9	9	21	31	24
13	Vasalunds IF	23	6	6	11	34	48	24
14	Piteå IF	23	4	6	13	27	44	18
15	FC Järfälla	23	5	3	15	30	50	18
16	IFK Stocksund	23	3	5	15	43	58	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Järfälla	AFC Eskilstuna
Piteå IF	1-3 L	1-0 W
Karlbergs BK	5-0 W	3-0 W
Gefle IF	1-3 L	0-1 L
Assyriska Föreningen	0-2 L	5-2 W
Sollentuna United FF	1-2 L	2-1 W
IF Karlstad Fotboll	1-4 L	2-1 W
Umeå FC	3-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Eskilstuna (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Järfälla

WLLLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-3	6	7	L
17/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	5-0	7	3	W
12/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
05/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-3	6	0	L
29/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
21/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
15/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
08/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-4	6	2	L
01/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
28/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	8	4	W

AFC Eskilstuna

WWWWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
17/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	5-2	3	4	W
13/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
05/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
29/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-1	3	2	W
23/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
14/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
09/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
02/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
26/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Järfälla vs AFC Eskilstuna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AFC Eskilstuna win (54%). Probabilities: FC Järfälla 24%, draw 23%, AFC Eskilstuna 54%.

How many goals are expected in FC Järfälla vs AFC Eskilstuna?

The model expects 3.6 goals (FC Järfälla 1.42 · AFC Eskilstuna 2.18), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Järfälla vs AFC Eskilstuna?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.