Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 27/09, 13:00

Prediction: FC Arlanda vs Enkopings SK

Team pages: FC Arlanda · Enkopings SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

FC Arlanda2.18

Enkopings SK1.6

1X2

50% 23% 27%

FC Arlanda Draw Enkopings SK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Arlanda 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Enkopings SK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Arlanda 5–1 Enkopings SK (6 last)

Enkopings SK1-7FC Arlanda
Enkopings SK1-3FC Arlanda
FC Arlanda2-1Enkopings SK
Enkopings SK2-4FC Arlanda
FC Arlanda4-1Enkopings SK
Enkopings SK3-0FC Arlanda

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Arlanda 1529 · Enkopings SK 1469

	FC Arlanda	Draw	Enkopings SK
Our model	50%	22%	28%
Market	49%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Arlanda (rating 1529 vs 1469).
H2H favours FC Arlanda: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Arlanda	Enkopings SK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.7	1.3 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.70

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
20:41 +13’	1.83	3.70	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Arlanda 5–0–1 Enkopings SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Enkopings SK	1-7 HT 0-4	FC Arlanda
19/10/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Enkopings SK	1-3 HT 1-1	FC Arlanda
09/05/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Arlanda	2-1 HT 0-1	Enkopings SK
19/10/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Enkopings SK	2-4 HT 1-3	FC Arlanda
15/06/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Arlanda	4-1 HT 0-0	Enkopings SK
08/09/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Enkopings SK	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Arlanda

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	23	16	3	4	55	19	51
2	AFC Eskilstuna	23	13	4	6	41	30	43
3	Hammarby TFF	23	12	6	5	48	22	42
4	FC Arlanda	23	12	6	5	40	27	42
5	IF Karlstad Fotboll	23	11	6	6	35	23	39
6	FBK Karlstad	23	11	6	6	36	32	39
7	Enkopings SK	23	12	3	8	37	38	39
8	Assyriska Föreningen	23	9	5	9	42	40	32
9	Gefle IF	23	9	3	11	29	41	30
10	Umeå FC	23	8	5	10	31	37	29
11	Karlbergs BK	23	8	4	11	29	38	28
12	Sollentuna United FF	23	5	9	9	21	31	24
13	Vasalunds IF	23	6	6	11	34	48	24
14	Piteå IF	23	4	6	13	27	44	18
15	FC Järfälla	23	5	3	15	30	50	18
16	IFK Stocksund	23	3	5	15	43	58	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Arlanda	Enkopings SK
Karlbergs BK	0-1 L	2-1 W
Umeå FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
FBK Karlstad	5-1 W	0-2 L
FC Stockholm Internazionale	1-4 L	0-3 L
IF Karlstad Fotboll	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Arlanda

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	3-0	4-2	1	2	W
16/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
12/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
06/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
29/08	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	3-2	5	6	W
23/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	5-1	5-1	4	3	W
16/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-4	0	1	L
09/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
03/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-5	1	5	L
27/06	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	0	6	W

Enkopings SK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-2	6	6	D
16/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	3-1	3-2	3	1	W
10/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
06/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-2	4	0	W
30/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
23/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
16/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
07/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	1	1	W
02/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	1	2	L
27/06	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Arlanda vs Enkopings SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Arlanda win (50%). Probabilities: FC Arlanda 50%, draw 23%, Enkopings SK 27%.

How many goals are expected in FC Arlanda vs Enkopings SK?

The model expects 3.78 goals (FC Arlanda 2.18 · Enkopings SK 1.6), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Arlanda vs Enkopings SK?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.