Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 17/09, 19:30

Prediction: Assyriska Föreningen vs AFC Eskilstuna

Team pages: Assyriska Föreningen · AFC Eskilstuna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Assyriska Föreningen1.44

AFC Eskilstuna1.45

1X2

37% 26% 38%

Assyriska Föreningen Draw AFC Eskilstuna

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Assyriska Föreningen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWLWWL

AFC Eskilstuna 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Assyriska Föreningen 2–2–2 AFC Eskilstuna (6 last)

AFC Eskilstuna1-0Assyriska Föreningen
AFC Eskilstuna2-1Assyriska Föreningen
Assyriska Föreningen2-1AFC Eskilstuna
Assyriska Föreningen1-1AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna3-3Assyriska Föreningen
AFC Eskilstuna2-3Assyriska Föreningen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Assyriska Föreningen 1537 · AFC Eskilstuna 1604

	Assyriska Föreningen	Draw	AFC Eskilstuna
Our model	36%	27%	37%
Market	37%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Eskilstuna (rating 1537 vs 1604).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Assyriska Föreningen	AFC Eskilstuna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.9	2.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.70

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:14 +2’	2.40	3.70	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Assyriska Föreningen 2–2–2 AFC Eskilstuna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	1-0 HT 1-0	Assyriska Föreningen
16/08/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	2-1 HT 0-1	Assyriska Föreningen
18/05/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	2-1 HT 2-1	AFC Eskilstuna
06/10/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	1-1 HT 0-0	AFC Eskilstuna
20/04/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	3-3 HT 0-1	Assyriska Föreningen
17/02/17 Europe Friendlies	AFC Eskilstuna	2-3 HT 2-0	Assyriska Föreningen

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	21	14	3	4	48	17	45
2	Hammarby TFF	21	12	5	4	46	18	41
3	AFC Eskilstuna	21	12	4	5	36	27	40
4	IF Karlstad Fotboll	21	11	4	6	33	21	37
5	FBK Karlstad	21	11	4	6	36	32	37
6	FC Arlanda	21	10	6	5	34	25	36
7	Enkopings SK	21	11	2	8	32	34	35
8	Assyriska Föreningen	21	8	5	8	35	34	29
9	Karlbergs BK	21	8	4	9	29	31	28
10	Gefle IF	21	8	3	10	28	39	27
11	Sollentuna United FF	21	5	8	8	19	28	23
12	Vasalunds IF	21	6	5	10	33	43	23
13	Umeå FC	21	6	5	10	26	37	23
14	Piteå IF	21	3	6	12	24	41	15
15	FC Järfälla	21	4	3	14	24	47	15
16	IFK Stocksund	21	3	5	13	41	50	14

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Assyriska Föreningen	AFC Eskilstuna
IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-0 W	2-1 W
Sollentuna United FF	3-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Assyriska Föreningen (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Assyriska Föreningen

LDWWWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
04/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
23/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
09/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
01/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
26/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
21/06	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
14/06	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	11	4	L

AFC Eskilstuna

WDWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
05/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
29/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-1	3	2	W
23/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
14/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
09/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
02/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
26/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
21/06	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	9	2	D
14/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Assyriska Föreningen vs AFC Eskilstuna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AFC Eskilstuna win (38%). Probabilities: Assyriska Föreningen 37%, draw 26%, AFC Eskilstuna 38%.

How many goals are expected in Assyriska Föreningen vs AFC Eskilstuna?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Assyriska Föreningen 1.44 · AFC Eskilstuna 1.45), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Assyriska Föreningen vs AFC Eskilstuna?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.