Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 01/11, 16:00

Prediction: Hammarby TFF vs Gefle IF

Team pages: Hammarby TFF · Gefle IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Hammarby TFF2.03

Gefle IF0.63

1X2

70% 20% 10%

Hammarby TFF Draw Gefle IF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hammarby TFF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLLWD

Gefle IF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLLDDW

Head-to-head

Hammarby TFF 3–2–1 Gefle IF (6 last)

Gefle IF0-4Hammarby TFF
Gefle IF2-4Hammarby TFF
Hammarby TFF2-0Gefle IF
Hammarby TFF3-3Gefle IF
Gefle IF1-0Hammarby TFF
Gefle IF2-2Hammarby TFF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hammarby TFF 1497 · Gefle IF 1473

	Hammarby TFF	Draw	Gefle IF
Our model	69%	21%	9%
Market	70%	20%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hammarby TFF: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hammarby TFF	Gefle IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.4	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.28

X4.50

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.28▼	Bet365 1.28
X	4.10 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50
2	5.25 → 9.00▲	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:15 +9’	1.48	4.10	5.25
14:32 +7’	1.28▼	4.50▲	9.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby TFF 3–2–1 Gefle IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Gefle IF	0-4 HT 0-2	Hammarby TFF
26/10/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Gefle IF	2-4 HT 1-2	Hammarby TFF
29/03/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	2-0 HT 1-0	Gefle IF
01/10/22 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	3-3 HT 2-1	Gefle IF
02/04/22 Sweden 1.div Norra	Gefle IF	1-0 HT 1-0	Hammarby TFF
09/10/21 Sweden 1.div Norra	Gefle IF	2-2 HT 0-2	Hammarby TFF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	28	20	4	4	68	23	64
2	AFC Eskilstuna	28	16	5	7	54	37	53
3	FC Arlanda	28	15	6	7	50	35	51
4	Enkopings SK	28	16	3	9	45	42	51
5	Hammarby TFF	28	14	7	7	55	29	49
6	FBK Karlstad	28	13	7	8	44	38	46
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	28	12	8	8	42	31	44
8	Umeå FC	28	11	6	11	40	44	39
9	Assyriska Föreningen	28	10	5	13	46	51	35
10	Gefle IF	28	10	5	13	34	47	35
11	Karlbergs BK	28	9	7	12	38	48	34
12	Sollentuna United FF	28	7	10	11	30	37	31
13	Vasalunds IF	28	7	7	14	39	61	28
14	Piteå IF	28	5	9	14	35	53	24
15	FC Järfälla	28	6	5	17	39	60	23
16	IFK Stocksund	28	3	6	19	46	69	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hammarby TFF	Gefle IF
FC Järfälla	2-2 D	3-1 W
IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-1 W	2-2 D
Enkopings SK	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC Arlanda	2-4 L	0-2 L
Vasalunds IF	0-0 D	0-1 L
Sollentuna United FF	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC Stockholm Internazionale	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby TFF (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hammarby TFF

DLWDLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-2	8	3	D
18/10	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
11/10	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	9	1	L
04/10	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
25/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
21/09	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-3	2-4	6	2	L
17/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
12/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
05/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	5	2	L
31/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Gefle IF

DLWLWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
17/10	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
11/10	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-3	2	4	D
03/10	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
27/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
20/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
16/09	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	7	7	L
12/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	8	3	W
05/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
29/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-2	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hammarby TFF vs Gefle IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby TFF win (70%). Probabilities: Hammarby TFF 70%, draw 20%, Gefle IF 10%.

How many goals are expected in Hammarby TFF vs Gefle IF?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Hammarby TFF 2.03 · Gefle IF 0.63), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hammarby TFF vs Gefle IF?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.