Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Piteå IF

Team pages: FC Stockholm Internazionale · Piteå IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

FC Stockholm Internazionale2.81

Piteå IF0.94

1X2

76% 15% 10%

FC Stockholm Internazionale Draw Piteå IF

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Stockholm Internazionale 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWDWL

Piteå IF 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDDDLW

Head-to-head

FC Stockholm Internazionale 2–4–0 Piteå IF (6 last)

Piteå IF2-2FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale2-0Piteå IF
Piteå IF2-2FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale2-2Piteå IF
Piteå IF0-0FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale3-1Piteå IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Stockholm Internazionale 1596 · Piteå IF 1504

	FC Stockholm Internazionale	Draw	Piteå IF
Our model	75%	15%	9%
Market	76%	14%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Stockholm Internazionale (rating 1596 vs 1504).
H2H favours FC Stockholm Internazionale: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Stockholm Internazionale	Piteå IF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.8	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.50

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.82

2 (+2)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:28 +5’	1.18	6.50	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Stockholm Internazionale 2–4–0 Piteå IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	2-2 HT 0-2	FC Stockholm Internazionale
10/08/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	2-0 HT 0-0	Piteå IF
19/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	2-2 HT 1-0	FC Stockholm Internazionale
29/10/23 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	2-2 HT 1-0	Piteå IF
18/05/23 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Stockholm Internazionale
30/10/22 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	3-1 HT 1-1	Piteå IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	29	20	4	5	69	25	64
2	FC Arlanda	29	16	6	7	53	36	54
3	AFC Eskilstuna	29	16	5	8	55	40	53
4	Enkopings SK	29	16	4	9	46	43	52
5	Hammarby TFF	29	14	7	8	55	31	49
6	FBK Karlstad	29	14	7	8	46	39	49
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	29	12	8	9	43	33	44
8	Umeå FC	29	12	6	11	43	44	42
9	Gefle IF	29	11	5	13	36	47	38
10	Karlbergs BK	29	10	7	12	40	48	37
11	Assyriska Föreningen	29	10	5	14	46	53	35
12	Sollentuna United FF	29	7	10	12	30	40	31
13	Vasalunds IF	29	8	7	14	41	62	31
14	Piteå IF	29	6	9	14	39	56	27
15	FC Järfälla	29	6	6	17	40	61	24
16	IFK Stocksund	29	3	6	20	49	73	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Stockholm Internazionale	Piteå IF
IF Karlstad Fotboll	4-1 W	1-1 D
Gefle IF	1-1 D	3-3 D
AFC Eskilstuna	3-1 W	0-1 L
Assyriska Föreningen	3-0 W	2-1 W
Sollentuna United FF	2-1 W	1-1 D
Karlbergs BK	2-0 W	3-0 W
IFK Stocksund	5-2 W	4-3 W
Umeå FC	4-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Stockholm Internazionale (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Stockholm Internazionale

WWWWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
24/10	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	4-1	3	1	W
17/10	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
10/10	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	2	2	W
03/10	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-0	5	6	W
26/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
20/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	8	0	W
17/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	5-0	5-2	6	2	W
13/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-0	4	4	W
05/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-0	2	2	W

Piteå IF

WLLWWDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-3	9	3	W
25/10	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-3	8	3	L
18/10	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
11/10	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-3	6	4	D
03/10	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
27/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
20/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-1	5	7	W
16/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
13/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
06/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Piteå IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Stockholm Internazionale win (76%). Probabilities: FC Stockholm Internazionale 76%, draw 15%, Piteå IF 10%.

How many goals are expected in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Piteå IF?

The model expects 3.76 goals (FC Stockholm Internazionale 2.81 · Piteå IF 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Piteå IF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.