Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: FC Järfälla vs Vasalunds IF

Team pages: FC Järfälla · Vasalunds IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

FC Järfälla1.32

Vasalunds IF2.37

1X2

20% 20% 60%

FC Järfälla Draw Vasalunds IF

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Järfälla 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDLWDD

Vasalunds IF 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLDLLW

Head-to-head

FC Järfälla 0–1 Vasalunds IF (1 last)

Vasalunds IF3-1FC Järfälla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Järfälla 1463 · Vasalunds IF 1449

	FC Järfälla	Draw	Vasalunds IF
Our model	19%	21%	60%
Market	20%	20%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Järfälla	Vasalunds IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	1.1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 5.2	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.50

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50
X	4.00 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50
2	1.83 → 1.48▼	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:28 +5’	3.10	4.00	1.83
16:18 +13’	4.50▲	4.50▲	1.48▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Järfälla 0–0–1 Vasalunds IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Vasalunds IF	3-1 HT 1-1	FC Järfälla

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	29	20	4	5	69	25	64
2	FC Arlanda	29	16	6	7	53	36	54
3	AFC Eskilstuna	29	16	5	8	55	40	53
4	Enkopings SK	29	16	4	9	46	43	52
5	Hammarby TFF	29	14	7	8	55	31	49
6	FBK Karlstad	29	14	7	8	46	39	49
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	29	12	8	9	43	33	44
8	Umeå FC	29	12	6	11	43	44	42
9	Gefle IF	29	11	5	13	36	47	38
10	Karlbergs BK	29	10	7	12	40	48	37
11	Assyriska Föreningen	29	10	5	14	46	53	35
12	Sollentuna United FF	29	7	10	12	30	40	31
13	Vasalunds IF	29	8	7	14	41	62	31
14	Piteå IF	29	6	9	14	39	56	27
15	FC Järfälla	29	6	6	17	40	61	24
16	IFK Stocksund	29	3	6	20	49	73	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Järfälla	Vasalunds IF
Enkopings SK	1-1 D	2-3 L
Hammarby TFF	2-2 D	0-0 D
FC Arlanda	3-1 W	1-4 L
AFC Eskilstuna	2-4 L	0-4 L
Karlbergs BK	5-0 W	3-3 D
Gefle IF	1-3 L	1-0 W
FBK Karlstad	0-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Järfälla (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Järfälla

LLWLLDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
23/10	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-2	1	3	D
17/10	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-1	3	4	W
11/10	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
03/10	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
26/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-4	5	5	L
20/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-3	6	7	L
17/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	5-0	7	3	W
12/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
05/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-3	6	0	L

Vasalunds IF

LLDLWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-1	9	6	W
24/10	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
18/10	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-4	5	2	L
10/10	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-3	4	5	D
04/10	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-4	2	4	L
27/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
21/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-5	2	4	L
17/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
12/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
06/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-3	3	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Järfälla vs Vasalunds IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vasalunds IF win (60%). Probabilities: FC Järfälla 20%, draw 20%, Vasalunds IF 60%.

How many goals are expected in FC Järfälla vs Vasalunds IF?

The model expects 3.68 goals (FC Järfälla 1.32 · Vasalunds IF 2.37), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Järfälla vs Vasalunds IF?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.