Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: Sollentuna United FF vs FC Arlanda

Team pages: Sollentuna United FF · FC Arlanda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Sollentuna United FF1.3

FC Arlanda1.71

1X2

29% 25% 47%

Sollentuna United FF Draw FC Arlanda

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sollentuna United FF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLWDWL

FC Arlanda 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWLLWW

Head-to-head

Sollentuna United FF 1–3–0 FC Arlanda (4 last)

FC Arlanda1-1Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF2-2FC Arlanda
Sollentuna United FF2-0FC Arlanda
FC Arlanda2-2Sollentuna United FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sollentuna United FF 1479 · FC Arlanda 1530

	Sollentuna United FF	Draw	FC Arlanda
Our model	28%	26%	46%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Arlanda (rating 1479 vs 1530).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sollentuna United FF	FC Arlanda
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.2	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.80

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
14:25 +8’	3.10	3.80	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sollentuna United FF 1–3–0 FC Arlanda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Arlanda	1-1 HT 1-0	Sollentuna United FF
28/03/26 Club Friendly List	Sollentuna United FF	2-2 HT 2-0	FC Arlanda
12/09/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Arlanda
16/05/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Arlanda	2-2 HT 1-1	Sollentuna United FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	29	20	4	5	69	25	64
2	FC Arlanda	29	16	6	7	53	36	54
3	AFC Eskilstuna	29	16	5	8	55	40	53
4	Enkopings SK	29	16	4	9	46	43	52
5	Hammarby TFF	29	14	7	8	55	31	49
6	FBK Karlstad	29	14	7	8	46	39	49
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	29	12	8	9	43	33	44
8	Umeå FC	29	12	6	11	43	44	42
9	Gefle IF	29	11	5	13	36	47	38
10	Karlbergs BK	29	10	7	12	40	48	37
11	Assyriska Föreningen	29	10	5	14	46	53	35
12	Sollentuna United FF	29	7	10	12	30	40	31
13	Vasalunds IF	29	8	7	14	41	62	31
14	Piteå IF	29	6	9	14	39	56	27
15	FC Järfälla	29	6	6	17	40	61	24
16	IFK Stocksund	29	3	6	20	49	73	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sollentuna United FF	FC Arlanda
Umeå FC	0-3 L	1-2 L
Vasalunds IF	2-0 W	4-1 W
Karlbergs BK	2-3 L	0-1 L
Enkopings SK	2-3 L	2-0 W
Hammarby TFF	0-1 L	4-2 W
Gefle IF	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Arlanda (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sollentuna United FF

WLLDLLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
24/10	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
18/10	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
09/10	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
02/10	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	2-2	2-3	6	7	L
26/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
19/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
16/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-3	2-3	6	1	L
12/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
05/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	4	5	W

FC Arlanda

LLWWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	1	8	W
25/10	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
17/10	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-3	7	4	L
10/10	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
04/10	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-1	6	4	W
27/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
21/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	3-0	4-2	1	2	W
16/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
12/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
06/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sollentuna United FF vs FC Arlanda?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Arlanda win (47%). Probabilities: Sollentuna United FF 29%, draw 25%, FC Arlanda 47%.

How many goals are expected in Sollentuna United FF vs FC Arlanda?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Sollentuna United FF 1.3 · FC Arlanda 1.71), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sollentuna United FF vs FC Arlanda?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.