Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: IFK Stocksund vs FBK Karlstad

Team pages: IFK Stocksund · FBK Karlstad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

IFK Stocksund1.16

FBK Karlstad2

1X2

21% 22% 57%

IFK Stocksund Draw FBK Karlstad

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Stocksund 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDLLLL

FBK Karlstad 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDWDLWLW

Head-to-head

IFK Stocksund 0–1–2 FBK Karlstad (3 last)

FBK Karlstad1-0IFK Stocksund
IFK Stocksund2-2FBK Karlstad
FBK Karlstad4-2IFK Stocksund

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Stocksund 1407 · FBK Karlstad 1547

	IFK Stocksund	Draw	FBK Karlstad
Our model	21%	23%	56%
Market	22%	21%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FBK Karlstad (rating 1407 vs 1547).
H2H favours FBK Karlstad: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Stocksund	FBK Karlstad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.6	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.10

X4.33

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 23:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00
X	4.20 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:21 +12’	4.20	4.20	1.57
17:37 +3’	4.10▼	4.33▲	1.57
23:21 +19’	4.00▼	4.33	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Stocksund 0–1–2 FBK Karlstad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	FBK Karlstad	1-0 HT 0-0	IFK Stocksund
03/08/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	2-2 HT 2-1	FBK Karlstad
14/04/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	FBK Karlstad	4-2 HT 2-1	IFK Stocksund

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	29	20	4	5	69	25	64
2	FC Arlanda	29	16	6	7	53	36	54
3	AFC Eskilstuna	29	16	5	8	55	40	53
4	Enkopings SK	29	16	4	9	46	43	52
5	Hammarby TFF	29	14	7	8	55	31	49
6	FBK Karlstad	29	14	7	8	46	39	49
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	29	12	8	9	43	33	44
8	Umeå FC	29	12	6	11	43	44	42
9	Gefle IF	29	11	5	13	36	47	38
10	Karlbergs BK	29	10	7	12	40	48	37
11	Assyriska Föreningen	29	10	5	14	46	53	35
12	Sollentuna United FF	29	7	10	12	30	40	31
13	Vasalunds IF	29	8	7	14	41	62	31
14	Piteå IF	29	6	9	14	39	56	27
15	FC Järfälla	29	6	6	17	40	61	24
16	IFK Stocksund	29	3	6	20	49	73	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Stocksund	FBK Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna	0-2 L	2-2 D
Sollentuna United FF	0-3 L	0-0 D
FC Järfälla	1-1 D	3-0 W
Umeå FC	0-3 L	3-1 W
FC Stockholm Internazionale	2-5 L	2-1 W
IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-1 W	0-0 D
Assyriska Föreningen	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FBK Karlstad (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Stocksund

LWLLLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-4	10	3	L
25/10	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
16/10	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-3	4	3	L
09/10	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
03/10	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
25/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
20/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	8	1	L
17/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-5	2-5	5	2	L
12/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	2	7	W
04/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	2	4	L

FBK Karlstad

WWDDWDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
24/10	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
17/10	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-1	10	2	W
11/10	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	11	2	L
03/10	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
27/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	0	1	W
19/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
16/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
12/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
05/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	3-0	8	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Stocksund vs FBK Karlstad?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FBK Karlstad win (57%). Probabilities: IFK Stocksund 21%, draw 22%, FBK Karlstad 57%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Stocksund vs FBK Karlstad?

The model expects 3.15 goals (IFK Stocksund 1.16 · FBK Karlstad 2), with a 59% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Stocksund vs FBK Karlstad?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.