Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 01/11, 15:00

Prediction: Piteå IF vs IFK Stocksund

Team pages: Piteå IF · IFK Stocksund

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Piteå IF2.45

IFK Stocksund1.27

1X2

62% 20% 17%

Piteå IF Draw IFK Stocksund

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Piteå IF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWDDDL

IFK Stocksund 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Piteå IF 2–1–2 IFK Stocksund (5 last)

IFK Stocksund2-3Piteå IF
Piteå IF1-1IFK Stocksund
IFK Stocksund4-1Piteå IF
IFK Stocksund0-1Piteå IF
Piteå IF2-3IFK Stocksund

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Piteå IF 1500 · IFK Stocksund 1401

	Piteå IF	Draw	IFK Stocksund
Our model	63%	20%	18%
Market	62%	21%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Piteå IF (rating 1500 vs 1401).
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Piteå IF	IFK Stocksund
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.2 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.4	1.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.33

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:08 +12’	1.44	4.33	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Piteå IF 2–1–2 IFK Stocksund

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	2-3 HT 2-2	Piteå IF
20/10/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	1-1 HT 1-1	IFK Stocksund
12/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	4-1 HT 2-1	Piteå IF
01/10/23 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	0-1 HT 0-1	Piteå IF
07/04/23 Sweden 1.div Norra	Piteå IF	2-3 HT 1-1	IFK Stocksund

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	28	20	4	4	68	23	64
2	AFC Eskilstuna	28	16	5	7	54	37	53
3	FC Arlanda	28	15	6	7	50	35	51
4	Enkopings SK	28	16	3	9	45	42	51
5	Hammarby TFF	28	14	7	7	55	29	49
6	FBK Karlstad	28	13	7	8	44	38	46
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	28	12	8	8	42	31	44
8	Umeå FC	28	11	6	11	40	44	39
9	Assyriska Föreningen	28	10	5	13	46	51	35
10	Gefle IF	28	10	5	13	34	47	35
11	Karlbergs BK	28	9	7	12	38	48	34
12	Sollentuna United FF	28	7	10	11	30	37	31
13	Vasalunds IF	28	7	7	14	39	61	28
14	Piteå IF	28	5	9	14	35	53	24
15	FC Järfälla	28	6	5	17	39	60	23
16	IFK Stocksund	28	3	6	19	46	69	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Piteå IF	IFK Stocksund
Enkopings SK	1-3 L	1-3 L
Sollentuna United FF	1-1 D	0-3 L
IF Karlstad Fotboll	1-1 D	2-1 W
Assyriska Föreningen	2-1 W	1-2 L
FC Järfälla	3-1 W	1-1 D
Umeå FC	0-2 L	0-3 L
AFC Eskilstuna	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Piteå IF (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Piteå IF

LWLLWWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-3	8	3	L
18/10	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
11/10	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-3	6	4	D
03/10	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
27/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
20/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	3-1	5	7	W
16/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
13/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
06/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
30/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-4	8	0	L

IFK Stocksund

LLWLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
16/10	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-3	4	3	L
09/10	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
03/10	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
25/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
20/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	8	1	L
17/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-5	2-5	5	2	L
12/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	2	7	W
04/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	2	4	L
29/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	2-3	8	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Piteå IF vs IFK Stocksund?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Piteå IF win (62%). Probabilities: Piteå IF 62%, draw 20%, IFK Stocksund 17%.

How many goals are expected in Piteå IF vs IFK Stocksund?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Piteå IF 2.45 · IFK Stocksund 1.27), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Piteå IF vs IFK Stocksund?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.