Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: Assyriska Föreningen vs Hammarby TFF

Team pages: Assyriska Föreningen · Hammarby TFF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Assyriska Föreningen1.55

Hammarby TFF1.64

1X2

36% 24% 40%

Assyriska Föreningen Draw Hammarby TFF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Assyriska Föreningen 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWLLL

Hammarby TFF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLLWDL

Head-to-head

Assyriska Föreningen 1–5 Hammarby TFF (6 last)

Hammarby TFF4-0Assyriska Föreningen
Hammarby TFF4-0Assyriska Föreningen
Assyriska Föreningen1-3Hammarby TFF
Assyriska Föreningen1-0Hammarby TFF
Hammarby TFF5-0Assyriska Föreningen
Assyriska Föreningen0-4Hammarby TFF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Assyriska Föreningen 1441 · Hammarby TFF 1477

	Assyriska Föreningen	Draw	Hammarby TFF
Our model	35%	26%	39%
Market	37%	22%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hammarby TFF: 5-0-1.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Assyriska Föreningen	Hammarby TFF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.2	1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.7	3.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X4.00

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:29 +4’	2.45	4.00	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Assyriska Föreningen 1–0–5 Hammarby TFF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	4-0 HT 1-0	Assyriska Föreningen
01/09/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	4-0 HT 3-0	Assyriska Föreningen
27/04/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	1-3 HT 0-3	Hammarby TFF
18/08/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	1-0 HT 0-0	Hammarby TFF
14/04/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Hammarby TFF	5-0 HT 2-0	Assyriska Föreningen
16/03/24 Club Friendly List	Assyriska Föreningen	0-4 HT 0-2	Hammarby TFF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	29	20	4	5	69	25	64
2	FC Arlanda	29	16	6	7	53	36	54
3	AFC Eskilstuna	29	16	5	8	55	40	53
4	Enkopings SK	29	16	4	9	46	43	52
5	Hammarby TFF	29	14	7	8	55	31	49
6	FBK Karlstad	29	14	7	8	46	39	49
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	29	12	8	9	43	33	44
8	Umeå FC	29	12	6	11	43	44	42
9	Gefle IF	29	11	5	13	36	47	38
10	Karlbergs BK	29	10	7	12	40	48	37
11	Assyriska Föreningen	29	10	5	14	46	53	35
12	Sollentuna United FF	29	7	10	12	30	40	31
13	Vasalunds IF	29	8	7	14	41	62	31
14	Piteå IF	29	6	9	14	39	56	27
15	FC Järfälla	29	6	6	17	40	61	24
16	IFK Stocksund	29	3	6	20	49	73	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Assyriska Föreningen	Hammarby TFF
FC Arlanda	1-3 L	2-4 L
Umeå FC	1-3 L	1-2 L
FC Stockholm Internazionale	0-3 L	0-3 L
Vasalunds IF	5-1 W	0-0 D
Enkopings SK	1-2 L	0-1 L
IFK Stocksund	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Assyriska Föreningen

WLLWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
25/10	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
18/10	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-3	1-3	7	3	L
11/10	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
03/10	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	6	6	L
27/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
21/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	5-1	3	4	W
17/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	2-5	7	4	L
10/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
04/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	7	4	W

Hammarby TFF

LWDLWLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
23/10	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-2	8	3	D
18/10	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
11/10	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	9	1	L
04/10	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
25/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
21/09	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-3	2-4	6	2	L
17/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
12/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
05/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Assyriska Föreningen vs Hammarby TFF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hammarby TFF win (40%). Probabilities: Assyriska Föreningen 36%, draw 24%, Hammarby TFF 40%.

How many goals are expected in Assyriska Föreningen vs Hammarby TFF?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Assyriska Föreningen 1.55 · Hammarby TFF 1.64), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Assyriska Föreningen vs Hammarby TFF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.