Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 10/09, 19:30

Prediction: Enkopings SK vs Assyriska Föreningen

Team pages: Enkopings SK · Assyriska Föreningen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Enkopings SK1.43

Assyriska Föreningen1.62

1X2

33% 26% 41%

Enkopings SK Draw Assyriska Föreningen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Enkopings SK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLLWLDLW

Assyriska Föreningen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Enkopings SK 2–1 Assyriska Föreningen (3 last)

Assyriska Föreningen4-2Enkopings SK
Enkopings SK3-1Assyriska Föreningen
Assyriska Föreningen0-3Enkopings SK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Enkopings SK 1494 · Assyriska Föreningen 1550

	Enkopings SK	Draw	Assyriska Föreningen
Our model	33%	26%	41%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Assyriska Föreningen (rating 1494 vs 1550).
H2H favours Enkopings SK: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Enkopings SK	Assyriska Föreningen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.6	2.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.50

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.75▲	Bet365 2.75
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:58 +1’	2.63	3.60	2.20
06:49 +2’	2.75▲	3.50▼	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Enkopings SK 2–0–1 Assyriska Föreningen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	4-2 HT 3-0	Enkopings SK
04/10/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Enkopings SK	3-1 HT 2-0	Assyriska Föreningen
01/06/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	0-3 HT 0-2	Enkopings SK

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	20	13	3	4	44	17	42
2	Hammarby TFF	20	11	5	4	45	18	38
3	IF Karlstad Fotboll	20	11	4	5	32	19	37
4	AFC Eskilstuna	20	11	4	5	35	27	37
5	FC Arlanda	20	10	6	4	34	24	36
6	FBK Karlstad	20	10	4	6	34	31	34
7	Enkopings SK	20	10	2	8	30	33	32
8	Assyriska Föreningen	20	8	5	7	34	32	29
9	Karlbergs BK	20	7	4	9	28	31	25
10	Gefle IF	20	7	3	10	25	38	24
11	Umeå FC	20	6	5	9	26	33	23
12	Sollentuna United FF	20	5	8	7	19	27	23
13	Vasalunds IF	20	6	5	9	32	41	23
14	Piteå IF	20	3	6	11	24	40	15
15	FC Järfälla	20	4	3	13	23	44	15
16	IFK Stocksund	20	2	5	13	39	49	11

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Enkopings SK	Assyriska Föreningen
Vasalunds IF	3-2 W	3-1 W
FBK Karlstad	0-2 L	2-0 W
IF Karlstad Fotboll	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Assyriska Föreningen (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Enkopings SK

WDWLLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-2	4	0	W
30/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
23/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
16/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
07/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	1	1	W
02/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	1	2	L
27/06	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
21/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-1	7	3	W
14/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
07/06	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	6	3	W

Assyriska Föreningen

LLDWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
23/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
09/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
01/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
26/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
21/06	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
14/06	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	11	4	L
07/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Enkopings SK vs Assyriska Föreningen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Assyriska Föreningen win (41%). Probabilities: Enkopings SK 33%, draw 26%, Assyriska Föreningen 41%.

How many goals are expected in Enkopings SK vs Assyriska Föreningen?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Enkopings SK 1.43 · Assyriska Föreningen 1.62), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Enkopings SK vs Assyriska Föreningen?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.