Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Enkopings SK vs IF Karlstad Fotboll

Team pages: Enkopings SK · IF Karlstad Fotboll

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Enkopings SK1.13

IF Karlstad Fotboll1.69

1X2

25% 26% 49%

Enkopings SK Draw IF Karlstad Fotboll

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Enkopings SK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDLWWW

IF Karlstad Fotboll 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWLLDLLD

Head-to-head

Enkopings SK 0–3 IF Karlstad Fotboll (3 last)

IF Karlstad Fotboll2-1Enkopings SK
IF Karlstad Fotboll2-0Enkopings SK
Enkopings SK3-4IF Karlstad Fotboll

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Enkopings SK 1498 · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1470

	Enkopings SK	Draw	IF Karlstad Fotboll
Our model	24%	26%	49%
Market	25%	26%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IF Karlstad Fotboll: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Enkopings SK	IF Karlstad Fotboll
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.3	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.50

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.64
2	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 1.93 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:59 +9’	3.60	3.60	1.80
08:55 +9’	3.70▲	3.60	1.75▼
13:14 +1’	3.60▼	3.50▼	1.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:05 +64’	3.94	3.82	1.74
12:59 +17’	3.37▼	3.64▼	1.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Enkopings SK 0–0–3 IF Karlstad Fotboll

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-1 HT 2-0	Enkopings SK
27/09/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-0 HT 1-0	Enkopings SK
17/05/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Enkopings SK	3-4 HT 0-1	IF Karlstad Fotboll

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	22	15	3	4	53	19	48
2	AFC Eskilstuna	22	13	4	5	41	29	43
3	Hammarby TFF	22	12	6	4	46	18	42
4	FC Arlanda	22	11	6	5	36	25	39
5	IF Karlstad Fotboll	22	11	5	6	33	21	38
6	FBK Karlstad	22	11	5	6	36	32	38
7	Enkopings SK	22	12	2	8	35	36	38
8	Assyriska Föreningen	22	8	5	9	37	39	29
9	Karlbergs BK	22	8	4	10	29	36	28
10	Gefle IF	22	8	3	11	28	41	27
11	Umeå FC	22	7	5	10	28	37	26
12	Vasalunds IF	22	6	6	10	33	43	24
13	Sollentuna United FF	22	5	8	9	21	31	23
14	FC Järfälla	22	5	3	14	29	47	18
15	Piteå IF	22	3	6	13	24	43	15
16	IFK Stocksund	22	3	5	14	43	55	14

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Enkopings SK	IF Karlstad Fotboll
Sollentuna United FF	3-2 W	1-2 L
Assyriska Föreningen	2-1 W	0-2 L
FBK Karlstad	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Enkopings SK (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Enkopings SK

WLLWLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	3-1	3-2	3	1	W
10/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
06/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-2	4	0	W
30/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
23/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
16/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
07/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	1	1	W
02/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	1	2	L
27/06	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
21/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-1	7	3	W

IF Karlstad Fotboll

DLWWLLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
12/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-2	10	7	L
05/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
29/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
22/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
15/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
08/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-1	6	2	W
02/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
27/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
21/06	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	8	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Enkopings SK vs IF Karlstad Fotboll?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IF Karlstad Fotboll win (49%). Probabilities: Enkopings SK 25%, draw 26%, IF Karlstad Fotboll 49%.

How many goals are expected in Enkopings SK vs IF Karlstad Fotboll?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Enkopings SK 1.13 · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1.69), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Enkopings SK vs IF Karlstad Fotboll?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.