Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: FBK Karlstad vs Sollentuna United FF

Team pages: FBK Karlstad · Sollentuna United FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

FBK Karlstad1.75

Sollentuna United FF1.24

1X2

48% 26% 26%

FBK Karlstad Draw Sollentuna United FF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FBK Karlstad 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLWWWD

Sollentuna United FF 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

FBK Karlstad 1–1–1 Sollentuna United FF (3 last)

Sollentuna United FF0-2FBK Karlstad
FBK Karlstad1-2Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF2-2FBK Karlstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FBK Karlstad 1523 · Sollentuna United FF 1431

	FBK Karlstad	Draw	Sollentuna United FF
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	48%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FBK Karlstad (rating 1523 vs 1431).
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FBK Karlstad	Sollentuna United FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.9	1.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.83▼	Pinn 1.90 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.62
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.46

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +5’	1.85	3.50	3.40
22:13 +12’	1.75▼	3.60▲	3.70▲
12:56 +19’	1.83▲	3.50▼	3.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +65’	1.80	3.72	3.74
12:00 +76’	1.90▲	3.62▼	3.46▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FBK Karlstad 1–1–1 Sollentuna United FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	0-2 HT 0-2	FBK Karlstad
17/08/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	FBK Karlstad	1-2 HT 0-2	Sollentuna United FF
20/04/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	2-2 HT 0-1	FBK Karlstad

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	22	15	3	4	53	19	48
2	AFC Eskilstuna	22	13	4	5	41	29	43
3	Hammarby TFF	22	12	6	4	46	18	42
4	FC Arlanda	22	11	6	5	36	25	39
5	IF Karlstad Fotboll	22	11	5	6	33	21	38
6	FBK Karlstad	22	11	5	6	36	32	38
7	Enkopings SK	22	12	2	8	35	36	38
8	Assyriska Föreningen	22	8	5	9	37	39	29
9	Karlbergs BK	22	8	4	10	29	36	28
10	Gefle IF	22	8	3	11	28	41	27
11	Umeå FC	22	7	5	10	28	37	26
12	Vasalunds IF	22	6	6	10	33	43	24
13	Sollentuna United FF	22	5	8	9	21	31	23
14	FC Järfälla	22	5	3	14	29	47	18
15	Piteå IF	22	3	6	13	24	43	15
16	IFK Stocksund	22	3	5	14	43	55	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FBK Karlstad	Sollentuna United FF
IF Karlstad Fotboll	0-0 D	2-1 W
Vasalunds IF	2-1 W	1-1 D
FC Järfälla	3-0 W	2-1 W
Enkopings SK	2-0 W	2-3 L
Hammarby TFF	1-1 D	0-1 L
Assyriska Föreningen	0-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FBK Karlstad (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FBK Karlstad

WLLDWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
12/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
05/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	3-0	8	0	W
30/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-3	1	0	W
23/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-5	1-5	4	3	L
16/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
09/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
01/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
26/06	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-7	11	1	L
18/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-0	5	2	W

Sollentuna United FF

LLDLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-3	2-3	6	1	L
12/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
05/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
29/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
22/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
15/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
03/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
26/06	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-4	2	2	L
18/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-2	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FBK Karlstad vs Sollentuna United FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FBK Karlstad win (48%). Probabilities: FBK Karlstad 48%, draw 26%, Sollentuna United FF 26%.

How many goals are expected in FBK Karlstad vs Sollentuna United FF?

The model expects 2.99 goals (FBK Karlstad 1.75 · Sollentuna United FF 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FBK Karlstad vs Sollentuna United FF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.