Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: FC Arlanda vs AFC Eskilstuna

Team pages: FC Arlanda · AFC Eskilstuna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

FC Arlanda1.66

AFC Eskilstuna1.71

1X2

37% 24% 39%

FC Arlanda Draw AFC Eskilstuna

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Arlanda 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWLLW

AFC Eskilstuna 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDLWW

Head-to-head

FC Arlanda 1–1–1 AFC Eskilstuna (3 last)

AFC Eskilstuna0-0FC Arlanda
FC Arlanda2-1AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna1-0FC Arlanda

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Arlanda 1527 · AFC Eskilstuna 1561

	FC Arlanda	Draw	AFC Eskilstuna
Our model	36%	25%	39%
Market	37%	24%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Arlanda	AFC Eskilstuna
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	2.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.4	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.4	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.75

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
20:27 +8’	2.45	3.75	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Arlanda 1–1–1 AFC Eskilstuna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Arlanda
06/09/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Arlanda	2-1 HT 1-1	AFC Eskilstuna
15/06/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Arlanda

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	28	20	4	4	68	23	64
2	AFC Eskilstuna	28	16	5	7	54	37	53
3	FC Arlanda	28	15	6	7	50	35	51
4	Enkopings SK	28	16	3	9	45	42	51
5	Hammarby TFF	28	14	7	7	55	29	49
6	FBK Karlstad	28	13	7	8	44	38	46
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	28	12	8	8	42	31	44
8	Umeå FC	28	11	6	11	40	44	39
9	Assyriska Föreningen	28	10	5	13	46	51	35
10	Gefle IF	28	10	5	13	34	47	35
11	Karlbergs BK	28	9	7	12	38	48	34
12	Sollentuna United FF	28	7	10	11	30	37	31
13	Vasalunds IF	28	7	7	14	39	61	28
14	Piteå IF	28	5	9	14	35	53	24
15	FC Järfälla	28	6	5	17	39	60	23
16	IFK Stocksund	28	3	6	19	46	69	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Arlanda	AFC Eskilstuna
Assyriska Föreningen	3-1 W	5-2 W
FC Järfälla	1-3 L	4-2 W
IF Karlstad Fotboll	0-3 L	2-1 W
Vasalunds IF	4-1 W	4-0 W
Gefle IF	2-0 W	0-1 L
IFK Stocksund	3-2 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Eskilstuna (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Arlanda

WLLWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
17/10	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-3	7	4	L
10/10	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
04/10	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-1	6	4	W
27/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
21/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	3-0	4-2	1	2	W
16/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
12/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
06/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
29/08	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	3-2	5	6	W

AFC Eskilstuna

WWWWLWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
18/10	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	4-0	2	2	W
10/10	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-3	4	2	L
03/10	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-2	5	2	D
26/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	4-2	8	5	W
20/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
17/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	5-2	3	4	W
13/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
05/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
29/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-1	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Arlanda vs AFC Eskilstuna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AFC Eskilstuna win (39%). Probabilities: FC Arlanda 37%, draw 24%, AFC Eskilstuna 39%.

How many goals are expected in FC Arlanda vs AFC Eskilstuna?

The model expects 3.37 goals (FC Arlanda 1.66 · AFC Eskilstuna 1.71), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Arlanda vs AFC Eskilstuna?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.