Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 17/07, 17:00
Prediction: Mashal Mubarek vs FK Kokand 1912
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Mashal Mubarek0.83
FK Kokand 19121.29
1X2
Mashal Mubarek
Draw
FK Kokand 1912
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mashal Mubarek
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
FK Kokand 1912
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mashal Mubarek
2–2–2
FK Kokand 1912
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mashal Mubarek 1393 · FK Kokand 1912 1476
| Mashal Mubarek | Draw | FK Kokand 1912 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 31% | 46% |
| Market | 24% | 29% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kokand 1912 (rating 1393 vs 1476).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mashal Mubarek | FK Kokand 1912 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.9 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.5 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mashal Mubarek 2–2–2 FK Kokand 1912
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/25 Uzbekistan PFL | Mashal Mubarek | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Kokand 1912 |
| 13/06/25 Uzbekistan PFL | FK Kokand 1912 | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Mashal Mubarek |
| 08/10/24 Uzbekistan 1st Division | FK Kokand 1912 | 1-1 | Mashal Mubarek |
| 09/08/24 Uzbekistan 1st Division | Mashal Mubarek | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Kokand 1912 |
| 16/05/24 Uzbekistan 1st Division | FK Kokand 1912 | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Mashal Mubarek |
| 12/03/24 Uzbekistan 1st Division | Mashal Mubarek | 0-0 | FK Kokand 1912 |
Standings · Uzbekistan PFL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fergana | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 28 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | FK Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Navbahor Namangan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | FC Bunyodkor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | AGMK | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | FK Andijan | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 13 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 12 |
| 13 | Dinamo Samarqand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 11 |
| 14 | FK Kokand 1912 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
| 15 | Sogdiana Jizzakh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 9 |
| 16 | Mashal Mubarek | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mashal Mubarek | FK Kokand 1912 |
|---|---|---|
| Sogdiana Jizzakh | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Xorazm Urganch | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Bunyodkor | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Navbahor Namangan | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| FK Andijan | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Kokand 1912 (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mashal Mubarek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05 | Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan Cup |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL |
1-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/04 | FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/03 | FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
FK Kokand 1912
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | AGMK Uzbekistan Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/04 | Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 08/04 | Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 02/04 | Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 18/03 | Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/03 | Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mashal Mubarek vs FK Kokand 1912?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Kokand 1912 win (47%). Probabilities: Mashal Mubarek 23%, draw 30%, FK Kokand 1912 47%.
How many goals are expected in Mashal Mubarek vs FK Kokand 1912?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Mashal Mubarek 0.83 · FK Kokand 1912 1.29), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Mashal Mubarek vs FK Kokand 1912?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.