Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 27/07, 17:00

Prediction: FK Andijan vs FK Buxoro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

FK Andijan1.45

FK Buxoro0.98

1X2

47% 28% 25%

FK Andijan Draw FK Buxoro

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Andijan 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWWDLD

FK Buxoro 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWWLLW

Head-to-head

FK Andijan 3–2–1 FK Buxoro (6 last)

FK Andijan1-1FK Buxoro
FK Buxoro1-1FK Andijan
FK Andijan1-0FK Buxoro
FK Buxoro0-1FK Andijan
FK Buxoro2-0FK Andijan
FK Andijan2-1FK Buxoro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Andijan 1522 · FK Buxoro 1493

	FK Andijan	Draw	FK Buxoro
Our model	47%	29%	24%
Market	47%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Andijan: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Andijan	FK Buxoro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.6	2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.25

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 1.90▼	Pinn 1.95
X	3.20 → 3.25▲	Bet365 3.25
2	3.30 → 3.60▲	Pinn 4.02 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:09 +7’	2.00	3.20	3.30
14:15 +4’	1.90▼	3.25▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:19	1.95	3.15	4.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Andijan 3–2–1 FK Buxoro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/11/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Buxoro
13/06/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Buxoro	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Andijan
01/12/23 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Buxoro
23/06/23 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Buxoro	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Andijan
28/01/21 Uzbekistan Cup	FK Buxoro	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Andijan
25/09/20 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Andijan	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Buxoro

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	13	11	1	1	32	5	34
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	13	9	3	1	25	14	30
3	FK Buxoro	13	7	2	4	17	13	23
4	AGMK	13	6	4	3	21	17	22
5	Navbahor Namangan	13	6	3	4	17	12	21
6	FC Bunyodkor	13	6	1	6	14	15	19
7	Lokomotiv Tashkent	13	5	4	4	18	18	19
8	Nasaf Qarshi	13	4	6	3	16	13	18
9	FK Andijan	13	5	2	6	20	16	17
10	Dinamo Samarqand	13	5	2	6	21	23	17
11	Termez Surkhon	13	4	3	6	14	21	15
12	Qizilqum Zarafshon	13	4	2	7	10	18	14
13	Xorazm Urganch	13	3	4	6	10	17	13
14	Sogdiana Jizzakh	13	3	3	7	22	30	12
15	FK Kokand 1912	13	2	5	6	11	20	11
16	Mashal Mubarek	13	1	1	11	6	22	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Andijan	FK Buxoro
Termez Surkhon	1-2 L	1-3 L
Nasaf Qarshi	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Bunyodkor	3-1 W	1-0 W
AGMK	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Andijan (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Andijan

LLDWWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	3-3	4	3	D
18/07	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-2	4	2	L
21/05	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan Cup	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
15/05	Shurtan Uzbekistan Cup	1-0	3-1	8	0	W
04/05	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
28/04	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
24/04	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	3-1	2	1	W
19/04	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
12/04	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
07/04	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	4	4	L

FK Buxoro

LWDLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/07	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
26/05	Guliston Uzbekistan Cup	1-2	1-4	5	3	L
02/05	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
27/04	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
22/04	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
17/04	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	2-2	2-3	8	6	L
13/04	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
09/04	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
04/04	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	1-3	1-3	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Andijan vs FK Buxoro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Andijan win (47%). Probabilities: FK Andijan 47%, draw 28%, FK Buxoro 25%.

How many goals are expected in FK Andijan vs FK Buxoro?

The model expects 2.43 goals (FK Andijan 1.45 · FK Buxoro 0.98), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Andijan vs FK Buxoro?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.