Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 29/07, 17:00

Prediction: Dinamo Samarqand vs FK Kokand 1912

Team pages: Dinamo Samarqand · FK Kokand 1912

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Dinamo Samarqand1.65

FK Kokand 19121.11

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Dinamo Samarqand Draw FK Kokand 1912

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Dinamo Samarqand 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDLWLDWW

FK Kokand 1912 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDDDLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Dinamo Samarqand 2–4–0 FK Kokand 1912 (6 last)

Dinamo Samarqand0-0FK Kokand 1912
FK Kokand 19122-3Dinamo Samarqand
FK Kokand 19120-0Dinamo Samarqand
Dinamo Samarqand3-3FK Kokand 1912
Dinamo Samarqand2-0FK Kokand 1912
FK Kokand 19121-1Dinamo Samarqand

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dinamo Samarqand 1502 · FK Kokand 1912 1447

	Dinamo Samarqand	Draw	FK Kokand 1912
Our model	49%	27%	24%
Market	49%	27%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Samarqand (rating 1502 vs 1447).
H2H favours Dinamo Samarqand: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dinamo Samarqand	FK Kokand 1912
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.4	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.30

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.89
X	3.60 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
2	5.00 → 3.70▼	Pinn 4.07 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:53 +11’	1.57	3.60	5.00
13:01 +2’	1.85▲	3.30▼	3.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:03 +1’	1.89	3.28	4.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Samarqand 2–4–0 FK Kokand 1912

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/11/25 Uzbekistan PFL	Dinamo Samarqand	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Kokand 1912
27/06/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Kokand 1912	2-3 HT 1-2	Dinamo Samarqand
09/10/23 Uzbekistan 1st Division	FK Kokand 1912	0-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Samarqand
20/05/23 Uzbekistan 1st Division	Dinamo Samarqand	3-3 HT 1-1	FK Kokand 1912
12/11/22 Uzbekistan PFL	Dinamo Samarqand	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Kokand 1912
28/06/22 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Kokand 1912	1-1 HT 1-0	Dinamo Samarqand

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	13	11	1	1	32	5	34
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	14	10	3	1	26	14	33
3	AGMK	14	7	4	3	23	18	25
4	FK Buxoro	14	7	2	5	17	15	23
5	Lokomotiv Tashkent	14	6	4	4	21	19	22
6	Navbahor Namangan	13	6	3	4	17	12	21
7	FK Andijan	14	6	2	6	22	16	20
8	FC Bunyodkor	14	6	1	7	14	16	19
9	Nasaf Qarshi	13	4	6	3	16	13	18
10	Dinamo Samarqand	13	5	2	6	21	23	17
11	Termez Surkhon	13	4	3	6	14	21	15
12	Qizilqum Zarafshon	13	4	2	7	10	18	14
13	Xorazm Urganch	13	3	4	6	10	17	13
14	Sogdiana Jizzakh	14	3	3	8	23	33	12
15	FK Kokand 1912	13	2	5	6	11	20	11
16	Mashal Mubarek	14	1	1	12	7	24	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dinamo Samarqand	FK Kokand 1912
Qizilqum Zarafshon	2-1 W	1-2 L
Mashal Mubarek	3-1 W	0-1 L
FK Andijan	1-2 L	0-0 D
AGMK	2-2 D	1-4 L
Sogdiana Jizzakh	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Samarqand (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dinamo Samarqand

WLLDLWLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-1	0	5	W
18/07	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	2-1	1	0	W
15/05	Lokomotiv Bfk Tashkent Uzbekistan Cup	1-1	2-2	3	1	D
10/05	Gazalkent Uzbekistan Cup	0-1	2-3	9	3	L
02/05	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	3-1	3-1	6	4	W
28/04	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
23/04	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	2-2	1	4	D
18/04	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	2-2	2-4	2	4	L
12/04	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	1-2	3	8	L
08/04	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	2-1	2	1	W

FK Kokand 1912

DDDDLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-4	6	3	L
17/07	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
16/05	AGMK Uzbekistan Cup	1-1	2-3	5	2	L
03/05	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
29/04	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	0-4	1	4	L
24/04	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	1-2	2	7	L
19/04	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
14/04	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
08/04	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
02/04	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	2-2	7	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dinamo Samarqand vs FK Kokand 1912?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Samarqand win (49%). Probabilities: Dinamo Samarqand 49%, draw 27%, FK Kokand 1912 24%.

How many goals are expected in Dinamo Samarqand vs FK Kokand 1912?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Dinamo Samarqand 1.65 · FK Kokand 1912 1.11), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Samarqand vs FK Kokand 1912?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.