Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 08/08, 16:30

Prediction: FC Bunyodkor vs AGMK

Team pages: FC Bunyodkor · AGMK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

FC Bunyodkor1.41

AGMK1.56

1X2

33% 27% 40%

FC Bunyodkor Draw AGMK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Bunyodkor 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWLLL

AGMK 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWDDWWWWWL

Head-to-head

FC Bunyodkor 2–1–3 AGMK (6 last)

AGMK0-1FC Bunyodkor
AGMK5-1FC Bunyodkor
FC Bunyodkor1-0AGMK
FC Bunyodkor0-1AGMK
AGMK1-0FC Bunyodkor
FC Bunyodkor1-1AGMK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AGMK (rating 1476 vs 1554).
H2H favours AGMK: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Bunyodkor	AGMK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	2.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	2.8 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.81

Under 2.52.01

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 23:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.02 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.30
X	3.34 → 3.52▲	Pinn 3.52
2	2.23 → 2.04▼	Pinn 2.04

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:07 +1’	3.02	3.34	2.23
21:20 +2’	3.09▲	3.45▲	2.15▼
23:46	3.30▲	3.52▲	2.04▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Bunyodkor 2–1–3 AGMK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Uzbekistan PFL	AGMK	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Bunyodkor
19/09/25 Uzbekistan PFL	AGMK	5-1 HT 1-0	FC Bunyodkor
28/04/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FC Bunyodkor	1-0 HT 1-0	AGMK
27/08/24 Uzbekistan PFL	FC Bunyodkor	0-1 HT 0-0	AGMK
29/03/24 Uzbekistan PFL	AGMK	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Bunyodkor
06/08/23 Uzbekistan PFL	FC Bunyodkor	1-1 HT 0-0	AGMK

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	15	11	3	1	33	6	36
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	16	10	5	1	28	16	35
3	Navbahor Namangan	16	8	4	4	24	14	28
4	FK Buxoro	16	8	3	5	21	18	27
5	AGMK	15	7	4	4	24	20	25
6	Lokomotiv Tashkent	16	7	4	5	24	22	25
7	Nasaf Qarshi	15	6	6	3	19	14	24
8	FK Andijan	16	6	3	7	22	17	21
9	Dinamo Samarqand	16	6	3	7	25	27	21
10	FC Bunyodkor	15	6	1	8	14	19	19
11	Xorazm Urganch	16	5	4	7	14	22	19
12	Sogdiana Jizzakh	16	5	3	8	27	34	18
13	Termez Surkhon	16	5	3	8	15	23	18
14	Qizilqum Zarafshon	15	5	2	8	13	19	17
15	FK Kokand 1912	15	2	5	8	13	24	11
16	Mashal Mubarek	16	1	1	14	8	29	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Bunyodkor	AGMK
Nasaf Qarshi	1-3 L	1-2 L
FK Kokand 1912	0-1 L	4-1 W
Navbahor Namangan	2-1 W	3-2 W
Neftchi Fergana	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AGMK (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Bunyodkor

LWLWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
21/07	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
16/07	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
24/05	Jayxun Uzbekistan Cup	3-0	4-0	5	2	W
11/05	PFC Terdu Uzbekistan Cup	1-1	2-1	2	0	W
03/05	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
29/04	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	2-1	0	8	W
24/04	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-3	7	1	L
19/04	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	3-2	3	1	W
14/04	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-1	4	1	L

AGMK

DWDDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-2	9	1	L
27/07	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	2-1	13	3	W
22/07	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	4-1	5	3	W
17/07	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	3-2	7	4	W
20/05	FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan Cup	2-0	2-1	3	5	W
16/05	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan Cup	1-1	3-2	6	2	W
10/05	Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan Cup	2-0	3-3	7	5	D
03/05	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
27/04	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
23/04	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	2-2	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Bunyodkor vs AGMK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AGMK win (40%). Probabilities: FC Bunyodkor 33%, draw 27%, AGMK 40%.

How many goals are expected in FC Bunyodkor vs AGMK?

The model expects 2.97 goals (FC Bunyodkor 1.41 · AGMK 1.56), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Bunyodkor vs AGMK?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.