Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 20/08, 16:00

Prediction: FC Bunyodkor vs FK Kokand 1912

Team pages: FC Bunyodkor · FK Kokand 1912

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

FC Bunyodkor1.34

FK Kokand 19121.44

1X2

34% 28% 38%

FC Bunyodkor Draw FK Kokand 1912

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Bunyodkor 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLLLL

FK Kokand 1912 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLDW

Head-to-head

FC Bunyodkor 1–3–2 FK Kokand 1912 (6 last)

FK Kokand 19121-0FC Bunyodkor
FK Kokand 19122-2FC Bunyodkor
FK Kokand 19121-1FC Bunyodkor
FC Bunyodkor1-2FK Kokand 1912
FK Kokand 19120-1FC Bunyodkor
FC Bunyodkor1-1FK Kokand 1912

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Bunyodkor 1449 · FK Kokand 1912 1442

	FC Bunyodkor	Draw	FK Kokand 1912
Our model	34%	28%	38%
Market	34%	28%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Kokand 1912: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Bunyodkor	FK Kokand 1912
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.6	1.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.20

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.80
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.48 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
20:46 +2’	2.70	3.20	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:47	2.80	3.15	2.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Bunyodkor 1–3–2 FK Kokand 1912

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Kokand 1912	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Bunyodkor
28/09/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Kokand 1912	2-2 HT 0-1	FC Bunyodkor
18/06/25 Uzbekistan Cup	FK Kokand 1912	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Bunyodkor
02/05/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FC Bunyodkor	1-2 HT 1-0	FK Kokand 1912
07/11/22 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Kokand 1912	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Bunyodkor
21/06/22 Uzbekistan PFL	FC Bunyodkor	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Kokand 1912

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	17	13	3	1	41	6	42
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	17	11	5	1	30	17	38
3	Navbahor Namangan	17	9	4	4	28	17	31
4	FK Buxoro	17	9	3	5	23	18	30
5	AGMK	17	8	4	5	27	24	28
6	Lokomotiv Tashkent	17	7	4	6	25	24	25
7	Nasaf Qarshi	17	6	7	4	20	16	25
8	Dinamo Samarqand	17	6	4	7	27	29	22
9	FK Andijan	17	6	3	8	22	20	21
10	Sogdiana Jizzakh	17	6	3	8	30	35	21
11	Xorazm Urganch	17	5	5	7	16	24	20
12	Qizilqum Zarafshon	17	6	2	9	15	24	20
13	FC Bunyodkor	17	6	1	10	19	26	19
14	Termez Surkhon	17	5	3	9	16	26	18
15	FK Kokand 1912	17	3	6	8	15	25	15
16	Mashal Mubarek	17	1	1	15	8	31	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Bunyodkor	FK Kokand 1912
AGMK	2-3 L	1-4 L
Nasaf Qarshi	1-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Bunyodkor

LWLWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	3-4	0	4	L
08/08	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	1-3	2-3	3	1	L
26/07	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
21/07	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
16/07	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
24/05	Jayxun Uzbekistan Cup	3-0	4-0	5	2	W
11/05	PFC Terdu Uzbekistan Cup	1-1	2-1	2	0	W
03/05	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
29/04	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	2-1	0	8	W
24/04	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-3	7	1	L

FK Kokand 1912

LLWLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	2-1	2	2	W
08/08	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
03/08	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
29/07	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	2-3	7	4	L
22/07	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-4	6	3	L
17/07	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
16/05	AGMK Uzbekistan Cup	1-1	2-3	5	2	L
03/05	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
29/04	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	0-4	1	4	L
24/04	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	1-2	2	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Bunyodkor vs FK Kokand 1912?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Kokand 1912 win (38%). Probabilities: FC Bunyodkor 34%, draw 28%, FK Kokand 1912 38%.

How many goals are expected in FC Bunyodkor vs FK Kokand 1912?

The model expects 2.78 goals (FC Bunyodkor 1.34 · FK Kokand 1912 1.44), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Bunyodkor vs FK Kokand 1912?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.