Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 09/10, 15:30

Prediction: FK Kokand 1912 vs Mashal Mubarek

Team pages: FK Kokand 1912 · Mashal Mubarek

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

FK Kokand 19121.77

Mashal Mubarek0.62

1X2

65% 23% 12%

FK Kokand 1912 Draw Mashal Mubarek

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kokand 1912 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWDDLL

Mashal Mubarek 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

FK Kokand 1912 2–1–3 Mashal Mubarek (6 last)

Mashal Mubarek1-0FK Kokand 1912
Mashal Mubarek1-0FK Kokand 1912
FK Kokand 19120-4Mashal Mubarek
FK Kokand 19121-1Mashal Mubarek
Mashal Mubarek0-1FK Kokand 1912
FK Kokand 19123-2Mashal Mubarek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kokand 1912 1443 · Mashal Mubarek 1404

	FK Kokand 1912	Draw	Mashal Mubarek
Our model	64%	24%	11%
Market	66%	21%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mashal Mubarek: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kokand 1912	Mashal Mubarek
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	0.6 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 5.1	2.3 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.20

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.96
2	7.00 → 7.00	Pinn 11.14 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:31 +4’	1.36	4.20	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:31 +4’	1.28	4.96	11.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kokand 1912 2–1–3 Mashal Mubarek

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/07/26 Uzbekistan PFL	Mashal Mubarek	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Kokand 1912
02/11/25 Uzbekistan PFL	Mashal Mubarek	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Kokand 1912
13/06/25 Uzbekistan PFL	FK Kokand 1912	0-4 HT 0-1	Mashal Mubarek
08/10/24 Uzbekistan 1st Division	FK Kokand 1912	1-1	Mashal Mubarek
09/08/24 Uzbekistan 1st Division	Mashal Mubarek	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Kokand 1912
16/05/24 Uzbekistan 1st Division	FK Kokand 1912	3-2 HT 2-0	Mashal Mubarek

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	22	16	3	3	50	17	51
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	22	14	7	1	39	20	49
3	Navbahor Namangan	22	13	5	4	39	21	44
4	AGMK	22	10	5	7	31	29	35
5	Lokomotiv Tashkent	22	10	5	7	36	28	35
6	Nasaf Qarshi	22	9	7	6	33	21	34
7	FK Buxoro	22	10	4	8	32	29	34
8	FK Andijan	22	9	3	10	27	28	30
9	Dinamo Samarqand	22	8	6	8	33	34	30
10	Qizilqum Zarafshon	22	9	2	11	23	30	29
11	Sogdiana Jizzakh	22	8	4	10	38	43	28
12	Termez Surkhon	22	7	5	10	19	28	26
13	FC Bunyodkor	22	7	1	14	22	36	22
14	Xorazm Urganch	22	5	6	11	18	32	21
15	FK Kokand 1912	22	4	8	10	19	30	20
16	Mashal Mubarek	22	1	1	20	11	44	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kokand 1912	Mashal Mubarek
FK Andijan	1-2 L	0-1 L
Lokomotiv Tashkent	2-1 W	0-3 L
Nasaf Qarshi	0-0 D	1-1 D
AGMK	1-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Kokand 1912

LLLDWWDDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
10/09	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-2	0	4	L
05/09	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
24/08	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
20/08	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
15/08	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	2-1	2	2	W
08/08	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
03/08	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
29/07	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	2-3	7	4	L
22/07	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-4	6	3	L

Mashal Mubarek

DLLLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-2	2	6	L
11/09	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-3	0	4	L
05/09	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	1-3	2-5	9	1	L
26/08	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-2	4	8	L
19/08	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
14/08	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
07/08	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
02/08	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-3	3	1	L
27/07	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
22/07	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	1-1	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kokand 1912 vs Mashal Mubarek?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kokand 1912 win (65%). Probabilities: FK Kokand 1912 65%, draw 23%, Mashal Mubarek 12%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kokand 1912 vs Mashal Mubarek?

The model expects 2.39 goals (FK Kokand 1912 1.77 · Mashal Mubarek 0.62), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kokand 1912 vs Mashal Mubarek?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.