Prediction: Eastern Lions vs Werribee City
Expected goals: 2.88 (Eastern Lions 1.64 · Werribee City 1.24). The model gives 46% home, 25% draw, 28% away. Under 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Eastern Lions is 2-4-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Werribee City 3-2-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Eastern Lions won 4 and Werribee City 0, with 2 draws.
| Eastern Lions | Draw | Werribee City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Eastern Lions: 4-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eastern Lions | Werribee City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastern Lions 4–2–0 Werribee City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Werribee City | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Eastern Lions |
| 17/08/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Werribee City | 1-5 HT 0-1 | Eastern Lions |
| 11/05/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Eastern Lions | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Werribee City |
| 15/07/23 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Eastern Lions | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Werribee City |
| 14/04/23 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Werribee City | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Eastern Lions |
| 08/06/19 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Werribee City | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Eastern Lions |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 37 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 46 | 28 | 34 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 28 | 31 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 29 |
| 6 | Whittlesea United | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 27 |
| 7 | Keilor Park | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 25 |
| 8 | Springvale White Eagles | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 23 |
| 9 | Nunawading | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29 | 22 |
| 10 | Eastern Lions | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 20 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 20 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 19 |
| 13 | Altona City | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eastern Lions | Werribee City |
|---|---|---|
| Springvale White Eagles | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Nunawading | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Kingston City | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Altona City | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Essendon Royals | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Whittlesea United | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Box Hill United | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Werribee City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eastern Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/04 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Werribee City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/06 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | Avondale Australia Victoria Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eastern Lions vs Werribee City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Eastern Lions win (46%). Probabilities: Eastern Lions 46%, draw 25%, Werribee City 28%.
How many goals are expected in Eastern Lions vs Werribee City?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Eastern Lions 1.64 · Werribee City 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Eastern Lions vs Werribee City?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.