Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 17/07, 12:30
Prediction: Springvale White Eagles vs Nunawading
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Springvale White Eagles1.64
Nunawading1.18
1X2
Springvale White Eagles
Draw
Nunawading
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Springvale White Eagles
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Nunawading
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Springvale White Eagles
1–3–2
Nunawading
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Springvale White Eagles 1508 · Nunawading 1447
| Springvale White Eagles | Draw | Nunawading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 48% | 24% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Springvale White Eagles (rating 1508 vs 1447).
- H2H favours Nunawading: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Springvale White Eagles | Nunawading | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 1.6 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.4 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Springvale White Eagles 1–3–2 Nunawading
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Nunawading | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Springvale White Eagles |
| 24/08/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Springvale White Eagles | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Nunawading |
| 09/05/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Nunawading | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Springvale White Eagles |
| 29/07/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 3 | Springvale White Eagles | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Nunawading |
| 14/05/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 3 | Nunawading | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Springvale White Eagles |
| 03/07/21 Australia Victoria Premier League 3 | Nunawading | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Springvale White Eagles |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 23 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 25 | 40 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 20 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 49 | 30 | 37 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 28 | 34 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 29 |
| 6 | Whittlesea United | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 22 | 28 |
| 7 | Keilor Park | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 26 | 28 |
| 8 | Springvale White Eagles | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 26 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 23 |
| 10 | Nunawading | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 20 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 20 |
| 13 | Altona City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 16 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 39 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Springvale White Eagles | Nunawading |
|---|---|---|
| Keilor Park | 5-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Eastern Lions | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Altona City | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Essendon Royals | 0-8 L | 1-5 L |
| Box Hill United | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Bayside Argonauts FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Werribee City | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Malvern City | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Springvale White Eagles (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Springvale White Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/06 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/06 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-8 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Nunawading
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 05/06 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 22/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Springvale White Eagles vs Nunawading?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Springvale White Eagles win (48%). Probabilities: Springvale White Eagles 48%, draw 25%, Nunawading 27%.
How many goals are expected in Springvale White Eagles vs Nunawading?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Springvale White Eagles 1.64 · Nunawading 1.18), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Springvale White Eagles vs Nunawading?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.