Prediction: Moreland City SC vs Springvale White Eagles
Expected goals: 3.44 (Moreland City SC 1.54 · Springvale White Eagles 1.9). The model gives 31% home, 23% draw, 46% away. Over 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Moreland City SC with 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; Springvale White Eagles has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Moreland City SC won 1 and Springvale White Eagles 1, with 2 draws.
| Moreland City SC | Draw | Springvale White Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 24% | 46% |
| Market | 31% | 23% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Springvale White Eagles (rating 1429 vs 1490).
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moreland City SC | Springvale White Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.8 | 1.5 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.2 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moreland City SC 1–2–1 Springvale White Eagles
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Springvale White Eagles | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Moreland City SC |
| 25/05/19 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Springvale White Eagles | 0-5 HT 0-0 | Moreland City SC |
| 09/06/18 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Moreland City SC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Springvale White Eagles |
| 17/02/18 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Springvale White Eagles | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Moreland City SC |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 37 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 46 | 28 | 34 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 28 | 31 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 29 |
| 6 | Whittlesea United | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 27 |
| 7 | Keilor Park | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 25 |
| 8 | Springvale White Eagles | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 23 |
| 9 | Nunawading | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29 | 22 |
| 10 | Eastern Lions | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 20 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 20 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 19 |
| 13 | Altona City | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moreland City SC | Springvale White Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Kingston City | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Eastern Lions | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Altona City | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Essendon Royals | 1-3 L | 0-8 L |
| Whittlesea United | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Box Hill United | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Bayside Argonauts FC | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Werribee City | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Malvern City | 1-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 6 L | 3 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Springvale White Eagles (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moreland City SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-4 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Springvale White Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/06 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/06 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-8 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moreland City SC vs Springvale White Eagles?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Springvale White Eagles win (46%). Probabilities: Moreland City SC 31%, draw 23%, Springvale White Eagles 46%.
How many goals are expected in Moreland City SC vs Springvale White Eagles?
The model expects 3.44 goals (Moreland City SC 1.54 · Springvale White Eagles 1.9), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Moreland City SC vs Springvale White Eagles?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.