Prediction: Nunawading vs Goulburn Valley Suns FC

Expected goals: 3.02 (Nunawading 1.07 · Goulburn Valley Suns FC 1.95). The model gives 21% home, 22% draw, 58% away. Under 3.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Nunawading with 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Goulburn Valley Suns FC has piled up 6-4-0 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Nunawading and 5 for Goulburn Valley Suns FC.

58%2
21% 22% 58%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nunawading 1447 · Goulburn Valley Suns FC 1579
NunawadingDrawGoulburn Valley Suns FC
Our model19%24%57%
Market21%20%59%
Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.02Nunawading 1.07 · Goulburn Valley Suns FC 1.95
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goulburn Valley Suns FC (rating 1447 vs 1579).
  • H2H favours Goulburn Valley Suns FC: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NunawadingGoulburn Valley Suns FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.92 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 10.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 30 / 1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.43 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nunawading 105 Goulburn Valley Suns FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Goulburn Valley Suns FC2-0
HT 2-0
Nunawading
14/06/25
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Nunawading1-2
HT 0-0
Goulburn Valley Suns FC
08/03/25
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Goulburn Valley Suns FC3-1
HT 0-1
Nunawading
20/04/24
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Nunawading3-1
HT 3-1
Goulburn Valley Suns FC
15/07/18
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Nunawading0-8
HT 0-5
Goulburn Valley Suns FC
03/06/17
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Goulburn Valley Suns FC4-1Nunawading

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Malvern City 181314 422240
2 Goulburn Valley Suns FC 181143 412537
3 Essendon Royals 191117 462834
4 Bayside Argonauts FC 18945 372831
5 Box Hill United 18855 272129
6 Whittlesea United 19766 302127
7 Keilor Park 17818 232625
8 Springvale White Eagles 19658 243523
9 Nunawading 18648 182922
10 Eastern Lions 18558 282520
11 Werribee City 19559 253220
12 Kingston City 186111 183919
13 Altona City 19379 172716
14 Moreland City SC 16259 203811

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNunawadingGoulburn Valley Suns FC
Eastern Lions 0-2 L 2-1 W
Altona City 0-0 D 1-1 D
Essendon Royals 1-5 L 1-0 W
Box Hill United 1-0 W 2-1 W
Bayside Argonauts FC 1-1 D 3-1 W
Werribee City 1-4 L 2-2 D
Malvern City 1-2 L 2-2 D
Springvale White Eagles 1-1 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 4 L 5 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Goulburn Valley Suns FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nunawading

DLLDWLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Kingston City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-2 0-4 66 L
12/06 Keilor Park
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
2-0 2-0 28 W
05/06 Eastern Lions
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-1 0-2 33 L
29/05 Altona City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-0 0-0 33 D
22/05 Essendon Royals
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-3 1-5 56 L
09/05 Box Hill United
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
1-0 1-0 43 W
02/05 Bayside Argonauts FC
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-0 1-1 D
25/04 Werribee City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-3 1-4 03 L
18/04 Malvern City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-1 1-2 12 L
11/04 Springvale White Eagles
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
1-0 1-1 D

Goulburn Valley Suns FC

WDDWWDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Moreland City SC
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
4-0 5-2 W
13/06 Eastern Lions
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-1 2-1 W
06/06 Altona City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-0 1-1 13 D
30/05 Essendon Royals
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-0 1-0 W
23/05 Whittlesea United
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-0 0-0 D
16/05 Box Hill United
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
1-0 2-1 W
09/05 Bayside Argonauts FC
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
2-1 3-1 W
02/05 Werribee City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-1 2-2 D
25/04 Malvern City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
1-1 2-2 D
18/04 Springvale White Eagles
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-1 2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nunawading vs Goulburn Valley Suns FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Goulburn Valley Suns FC win (58%). Probabilities: Nunawading 21%, draw 22%, Goulburn Valley Suns FC 58%.

How many goals are expected in Nunawading vs Goulburn Valley Suns FC?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Nunawading 1.07 · Goulburn Valley Suns FC 1.95), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nunawading vs Goulburn Valley Suns FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.