Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 17/07, 11:30
Prediction: Box Hill United vs Altona City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Box Hill United1.5
Altona City0.95
1X2
Box Hill United
Draw
Altona City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Box Hill United
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Altona City
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Box Hill United
1–2–2
Altona City
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Box Hill United 1477 · Altona City 1455
| Box Hill United | Draw | Altona City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | 51% | 24% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Altona City: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Box Hill United | Altona City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.6 | 1.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Box Hill United 1–2–2 Altona City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Altona City | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Box Hill United |
| 24/08/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Box Hill United | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Altona City |
| 09/05/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Altona City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Box Hill United |
| 28/06/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Altona City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Box Hill United |
| 12/04/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Box Hill United | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Altona City |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 23 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 25 | 40 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 20 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 49 | 30 | 37 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 28 | 34 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 29 |
| 6 | Whittlesea United | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 22 | 28 |
| 7 | Keilor Park | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 26 | 28 |
| 8 | Springvale White Eagles | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 26 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 23 |
| 10 | Nunawading | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 20 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 20 |
| 13 | Altona City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 16 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 39 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Box Hill United | Altona City |
|---|---|---|
| Kingston City | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Werribee City | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Malvern City | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Springvale White Eagles | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Nunawading | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Moreland City SC | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Box Hill United (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Box Hill United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/06 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/05 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 09/05 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Altona City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 29/05 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Box Hill United vs Altona City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Box Hill United win (50%). Probabilities: Box Hill United 50%, draw 26%, Altona City 24%.
How many goals are expected in Box Hill United vs Altona City?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Box Hill United 1.5 · Altona City 0.95), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Box Hill United vs Altona City?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.