Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 17/07, 11:45
Prediction: Eastern Lions vs Bayside Argonauts FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Eastern Lions1.52
Bayside Argonauts FC1.69
1X2
Eastern Lions
Draw
Bayside Argonauts FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Eastern Lions
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Bayside Argonauts FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eastern Lions
1–0
Bayside Argonauts FC
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eastern Lions 1512 · Bayside Argonauts FC 1512
| Eastern Lions | Draw | Bayside Argonauts FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| Market | 35% | 24% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eastern Lions | Bayside Argonauts FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.2 | 3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastern Lions 1–0–0 Bayside Argonauts FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Eastern Lions |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 23 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 25 | 40 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 20 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 49 | 30 | 37 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 28 | 34 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 29 |
| 6 | Whittlesea United | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 22 | 28 |
| 7 | Keilor Park | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 26 | 28 |
| 8 | Springvale White Eagles | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 26 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 23 |
| 10 | Nunawading | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 20 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 20 |
| 13 | Altona City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 16 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 39 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eastern Lions | Bayside Argonauts FC |
|---|---|---|
| Werribee City | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Springvale White Eagles | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Nunawading | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Moreland City SC | 3-3 D | 4-1 W |
| Kingston City | 4-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Altona City | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Essendon Royals | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Whittlesea United | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 3 L | 5 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bayside Argonauts FC (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eastern Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/06 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Bayside Argonauts FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/04 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eastern Lions vs Bayside Argonauts FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bayside Argonauts FC win (41%). Probabilities: Eastern Lions 34%, draw 24%, Bayside Argonauts FC 41%.
How many goals are expected in Eastern Lions vs Bayside Argonauts FC?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Eastern Lions 1.52 · Bayside Argonauts FC 1.69), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Eastern Lions vs Bayside Argonauts FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.