Prediction: Kingston City vs Nunawading
Expected goals: 2.89 (Kingston City 1.1 · Nunawading 1.79). The model gives 23% home, 24% draw, 53% away. Under 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Kingston City is 2-0-8 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Nunawading 2-3-5 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Kingston City and 1 for Nunawading.
| Kingston City | Draw | Nunawading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 25% | 52% |
| Market | 24% | 22% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nunawading (rating 1396 vs 1467).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kingston City | Nunawading | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.9 | 0.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kingston City 0–0–1 Nunawading
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Nunawading | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Kingston City |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 23 | 34 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 33 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 30 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | Keilor Park | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Whittlesea United | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | Nunawading | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 22 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | Springvale White Eagles | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 19 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 16 |
| 13 | Altona City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kingston City | Nunawading |
|---|---|---|
| Box Hill United | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Bayside Argonauts FC | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Keilor Park | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Werribee City | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Eastern Lions | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Malvern City | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Altona City | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Springvale White Eagles | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Essendon Royals | 0-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 8 L | 2 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Nunawading (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kingston City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-4 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 17/04 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Nunawading
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 05/06 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 22/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/04 | Preston Lions Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kingston City vs Nunawading?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nunawading win (53%). Probabilities: Kingston City 23%, draw 24%, Nunawading 53%.
How many goals are expected in Kingston City vs Nunawading?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Kingston City 1.1 · Nunawading 1.79), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Kingston City vs Nunawading?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.