Prediction: Whittlesea United vs Kingston City
Expected goals: 3.67 (Whittlesea United 2.48 · Kingston City 1.2). The model gives 65% home, 19% draw, 16% away. Over 3.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 2-1.
On recent form, Whittlesea United is 5-4-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Kingston City 3-0-7 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Whittlesea United won 0 and Kingston City 1.
| Whittlesea United | Draw | Kingston City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| Market | 65% | 19% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Whittlesea United (rating 1541 vs 1447).
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Whittlesea United | Kingston City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Whittlesea United 0–0–1 Kingston City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Kingston City | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Whittlesea United |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 37 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 46 | 28 | 34 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 28 | 31 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 29 |
| 6 | Whittlesea United | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 27 |
| 7 | Keilor Park | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 25 |
| 8 | Springvale White Eagles | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 23 |
| 9 | Nunawading | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29 | 22 |
| 10 | Eastern Lions | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 20 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 20 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 19 |
| 13 | Altona City | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Whittlesea United | Kingston City |
|---|---|---|
| Box Hill United | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Bayside Argonauts FC | 3-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Werribee City | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Malvern City | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Springvale White Eagles | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Moreland City SC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Keilor Park | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Eastern Lions | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Altona City | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Whittlesea United (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Whittlesea United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/04 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
Kingston City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/06 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-4 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Whittlesea United vs Kingston City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Whittlesea United win (65%). Probabilities: Whittlesea United 65%, draw 19%, Kingston City 16%.
How many goals are expected in Whittlesea United vs Kingston City?
The model expects 3.67 goals (Whittlesea United 2.48 · Kingston City 1.2), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Whittlesea United vs Kingston City?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.

