Prediction: Whittlesea United vs Kingston City

Expected goals: 3.67 (Whittlesea United 2.48 · Kingston City 1.2). The model gives 65% home, 19% draw, 16% away. Over 3.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 2-1.

On recent form, Whittlesea United is 5-4-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Kingston City 3-0-7 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Whittlesea United won 0 and Kingston City 1.

65%1
65% 19% 16%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Whittlesea United 1541 · Kingston City 1447
Whittlesea UnitedDrawKingston City
Our model65%19%16%
Market65%19%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.67Whittlesea United 2.48 · Kingston City 1.2
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 54%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Whittlesea United (rating 1541 vs 1447).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Whittlesea UnitedKingston City
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 0.91.1 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 52.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 02.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Whittlesea United 001 Kingston City

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/03/26
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Kingston City2-0
HT 0-0
Whittlesea United

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Malvern City 181314 422240
2 Goulburn Valley Suns FC 181143 412537
3 Essendon Royals 191117 462834
4 Bayside Argonauts FC 18945 372831
5 Box Hill United 18855 272129
6 Whittlesea United 19766 302127
7 Keilor Park 17818 232625
8 Springvale White Eagles 19658 243523
9 Nunawading 18648 182922
10 Eastern Lions 18558 282520
11 Werribee City 19559 253220
12 Kingston City 186111 183919
13 Altona City 19379 172716
14 Moreland City SC 16259 203811

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWhittlesea UnitedKingston City
Box Hill United 3-1 W 1-3 L
Bayside Argonauts FC 3-4 L 0-5 L
Werribee City 4-0 W 0-2 L
Malvern City 1-0 W 0-5 L
Springvale White Eagles 2-0 W 2-3 L
Moreland City SC 1-1 D 2-1 W
Keilor Park 4-0 W 0-2 L
Eastern Lions 1-1 D 0-4 L
Altona City 2-2 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Whittlesea United (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Whittlesea United

DDWDDWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Box Hill United
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
1-0 3-1 43 W
19/06 Bayside Argonauts FC
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
1-3 3-4 L
12/06 Werribee City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-0 4-0 72 W
05/06 Malvern City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-0 1-0 53 W
30/05 Springvale White Eagles
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
1-0 2-0 W
23/05 Goulburn Valley Suns FC
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-0 0-0 D
09/05 Moreland City SC
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-1 1-1 36 D
01/05 Keilor Park
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
2-0 4-0 63 W
24/04 Eastern Lions
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-0 1-1 D
17/04 Altona City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-1 2-2 52 D

Kingston City

LWLLLLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Nunawading
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
2-0 4-0 66 W
19/06 Box Hill United
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-2 1-3 44 L
12/06 Moreland City SC
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
1-0 2-1 21 W
06/06 Bayside Argonauts FC
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-4 0-5 L
29/05 Keilor Park
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-1 0-2 24 L
22/05 Werribee City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-1 0-2 33 L
15/05 Eastern Lions
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-1 0-4 60 L
09/05 Malvern City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
0-1 0-5 12 L
01/05 Altona City
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
1-0 2-1 62 W
24/04 Springvale White Eagles
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
2-2 2-3 72 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Whittlesea United vs Kingston City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Whittlesea United win (65%). Probabilities: Whittlesea United 65%, draw 19%, Kingston City 16%.

How many goals are expected in Whittlesea United vs Kingston City?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Whittlesea United 2.48 · Kingston City 1.2), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Whittlesea United vs Kingston City?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.