Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 25/07, 10:15

Prediction: Altona City vs Whittlesea United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Altona City1.12

Whittlesea United1.41

1X2

30% 26% 44%

Altona City Draw Whittlesea United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Altona City 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDDDLDLL

Whittlesea United 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWLWDD

Head-to-head

Altona City 4–2–0 Whittlesea United (6 last)

Whittlesea United2-2Altona City
Altona City2-1Whittlesea United
Whittlesea United2-3Altona City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Altona City 1451 · Whittlesea United 1543

	Altona City	Draw	Whittlesea United
Our model	29%	29%	42%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Whittlesea United (rating 1451 vs 1543).
H2H favours Altona City: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Altona City	Whittlesea United
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.1	2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.3	1.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.70

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.25

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:08 +3’	2.90	3.70	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Altona City 4–2–0 Whittlesea United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Whittlesea United	2-2 HT 0-1	Altona City
30/05/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Altona City	2-1 HT 1-0	Whittlesea United
21/02/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Whittlesea United	2-3 HT 2-1	Altona City
28/07/23 Australia Victoria State League 1	Altona City	3-0 HT 1-0	Whittlesea United
12/05/23 Australia Victoria State League 1	Whittlesea United	0-1 HT 0-1	Altona City
19/06/22 Australia Victoria State League 1	Whittlesea United	1-1 HT 0-0	Altona City

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malvern City	20	14	1	5	47	23	43
2	Goulburn Valley Suns FC	20	13	4	3	45	27	43
3	Essendon Royals	21	12	2	7	50	31	38
4	Bayside Argonauts FC	20	10	5	5	39	29	35
5	Box Hill United	20	9	5	6	32	25	32
6	Keilor Park	19	10	1	8	27	27	31
7	Whittlesea United	21	7	8	6	32	23	29
8	Springvale White Eagles	21	7	5	9	25	37	26
9	Nunawading	20	7	4	9	20	30	25
10	Eastern Lions	20	6	6	8	31	27	24
11	Werribee City	21	5	5	11	27	37	20
12	Kingston City	20	6	2	12	21	43	20
13	Altona City	21	3	7	11	18	31	16
14	Moreland City SC	18	2	5	11	20	44	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Altona City	Whittlesea United
Box Hill United	1-3 L	3-1 W
Bayside Argonauts FC	0-1 L	3-4 L
Werribee City	0-0 D	4-0 W
Malvern City	0-2 L	1-0 W
Springvale White Eagles	2-2 D	2-0 W
Goulburn Valley Suns FC	1-1 D	0-0 D
Moreland City SC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Keilor Park	0-1 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Whittlesea United (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Altona City

WLLDDDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-3	3	1	L
11/07	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
04/07	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
20/06	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
12/06	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
06/06	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	9	3	D
29/05	Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
23/05	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
16/05	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
08/05	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	1	3	W

Whittlesea United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/07	Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
03/07	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
19/06	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-3	3-4	–	–	L
12/06	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	4-0	7	2	W
05/06	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
30/05	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
01/05	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	2-0	4-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Altona City vs Whittlesea United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Whittlesea United win (44%). Probabilities: Altona City 30%, draw 26%, Whittlesea United 44%.

How many goals are expected in Altona City vs Whittlesea United?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Altona City 1.12 · Whittlesea United 1.41), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Altona City vs Whittlesea United?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.