Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 31/07, 11:45
Prediction: Kingston City vs Springvale White Eagles
Team pages: Kingston City · Springvale White Eagles
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.54Total
Kingston City1.56
Springvale White Eagles1.98
1X2
Kingston City
Draw
Springvale White Eagles
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kingston City
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Springvale White Eagles
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kingston City
1–2–1
Springvale White Eagles
(4 last)
- Springvale White Eagles3-2Kingston City
- Kingston City1-1Springvale White Eagles
- Springvale White Eagles2-2Kingston City
- Springvale White Eagles1-5Kingston City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kingston City 1434 · Springvale White Eagles 1488
| Kingston City | Draw | Springvale White Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| Market | 30% | 23% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Springvale White Eagles (rating 1434 vs 1488).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kingston City | Springvale White Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.5 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.1 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kingston City 1–2–1 Springvale White Eagles
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Springvale White Eagles | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Kingston City |
| 26/02/20 Australia Friendlies | Kingston City | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Springvale White Eagles |
| 20/01/18 Australia Friendlies | Springvale White Eagles | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Kingston City |
| 21/01/17 Australia Friendlies | Springvale White Eagles | 1-5 HT 0-5 | Kingston City |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 21 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 51 | 24 | 46 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 28 | 46 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 54 | 33 | 41 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 38 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 26 | 33 |
| 6 | Keilor Park | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 28 | 31 |
| 7 | Whittlesea United | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 30 |
| 8 | Springvale White Eagles | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | 26 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 25 |
| 10 | Nunawading | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 25 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 41 | 21 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 47 | 20 |
| 13 | Altona City | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 31 | 17 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 12 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kingston City | Springvale White Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Essendon Royals | 2-4 L | 0-8 L |
| Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Whittlesea United | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Nunawading | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Box Hill United | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Moreland City SC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Bayside Argonauts FC | 0-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Keilor Park | 0-2 L | 5-2 W |
| Eastern Lions | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 6 L | 3 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Springvale White Eagles (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kingston City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/07 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/07 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/06 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-4 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
Springvale White Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/06 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/06 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-8 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kingston City vs Springvale White Eagles?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Springvale White Eagles win (47%). Probabilities: Kingston City 30%, draw 23%, Springvale White Eagles 47%.
How many goals are expected in Kingston City vs Springvale White Eagles?
The model expects 3.54 goals (Kingston City 1.56 · Springvale White Eagles 1.98), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kingston City vs Springvale White Eagles?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.