Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 01/08, 07:00
Prediction: Bayside Argonauts FC vs Moreland City SC
Team pages: Bayside Argonauts FC · Moreland City SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
Bayside Argonauts FC2.38
Moreland City SC1.37
1X2
Bayside Argonauts FC
Draw
Moreland City SC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bayside Argonauts FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Moreland City SC
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bayside Argonauts FC
1–0
Moreland City SC
(1 last)
- Moreland City SC1-4Bayside Argonauts FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bayside Argonauts FC 1544 · Moreland City SC 1424
| Bayside Argonauts FC | Draw | Moreland City SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| Market | 60% | 20% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bayside Argonauts FC (rating 1544 vs 1424).
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bayside Argonauts FC | Moreland City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 8 | 3.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayside Argonauts FC 1–0–0 Moreland City SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Moreland City SC | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Bayside Argonauts FC |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 21 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 51 | 24 | 46 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 28 | 46 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 54 | 33 | 41 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 38 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 26 | 33 |
| 6 | Keilor Park | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 28 | 31 |
| 7 | Whittlesea United | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 30 |
| 8 | Springvale White Eagles | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | 26 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 25 |
| 10 | Nunawading | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 25 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 41 | 21 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 47 | 20 |
| 13 | Altona City | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 31 | 17 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 12 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bayside Argonauts FC | Moreland City SC |
|---|---|---|
| Eastern Lions | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Altona City | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Essendon Royals | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Whittlesea United | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Kingston City | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Werribee City | 2-0 W | 4-4 D |
| Malvern City | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Springvale White Eagles | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 1-3 L | 2-5 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Bayside Argonauts FC (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bayside Argonauts FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Moreland City SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-4 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bayside Argonauts FC vs Moreland City SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bayside Argonauts FC win (59%). Probabilities: Bayside Argonauts FC 59%, draw 20%, Moreland City SC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Bayside Argonauts FC vs Moreland City SC?
The model expects 3.75 goals (Bayside Argonauts FC 2.38 · Moreland City SC 1.37), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bayside Argonauts FC vs Moreland City SC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.